Mary Peltola’s entry into the race and consistent polling leads have driven trader consensus toward her as the frontrunner in Alaska’s 2026 Senate contest. Recent Alaska Survey Research surveys from March through May show her ahead or within a few points of incumbent Dan Sullivan, reflecting her strong statewide name recognition, record fundraising, and appeal under ranked-choice voting. Sullivan benefits from Alaska’s Republican lean and Trump endorsement but faces a top-four primary on August 18 and general election dynamics complicated by a second Republican candidate sharing his name, which has sparked allegations of voter confusion. Minor candidates remain negligible in both polls and market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于玛丽·佩尔托拉 62%
丹·沙利文 38%
达斯汀·达登 <1%
安·迪纳尔 <1%
$337,387 交易量
$337,387 交易量
2026-11-03
玛丽·佩尔托拉
62%
丹·沙利文
38%
达斯汀·达登
<1%
安·迪纳尔
<1%
理查德·格雷森
<1%
玛丽·佩尔托拉 62%
丹·沙利文 38%
达斯汀·达登 <1%
安·迪纳尔 <1%
$337,387 交易量
$337,387 交易量
2026-11-03
玛丽·佩尔托拉
$167,116 交易量
62%
丹·沙利文
$92,584 交易量
38%
达斯汀·达登
$21,931 交易量
<1%
安·迪纳尔
$34,206 交易量
<1%
理查德·格雷森
$21,549 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola’s entry into the race and consistent polling leads have driven trader consensus toward her as the frontrunner in Alaska’s 2026 Senate contest. Recent Alaska Survey Research surveys from March through May show her ahead or within a few points of incumbent Dan Sullivan, reflecting her strong statewide name recognition, record fundraising, and appeal under ranked-choice voting. Sullivan benefits from Alaska’s Republican lean and Trump endorsement but faces a top-four primary on August 18 and general election dynamics complicated by a second Republican candidate sharing his name, which has sparked allegations of voter confusion. Minor candidates remain negligible in both polls and market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$337,387结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola’s entry into the race and consistent polling leads have driven trader consensus toward her as the frontrunner in Alaska’s 2026 Senate contest. Recent Alaska Survey Research surveys from March through May show her ahead or within a few points of incumbent Dan Sullivan, reflecting her strong statewide name recognition, record fundraising, and appeal under ranked-choice voting. Sullivan benefits from Alaska’s Republican lean and Trump endorsement but faces a top-four primary on August 18 and general election dynamics complicated by a second Republican candidate sharing his name, which has sparked allegations of voter confusion. Minor candidates remain negligible in both polls and market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
交易量
$337,387结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola’s entry into the race and consistent polling leads have driven trader consensus toward her as the frontrunner in Alaska’s 2026 Senate contest. Recent Alaska Survey Research surveys from March through May show her ahead or within a few points of incumbent Dan Sullivan, reflecting her strong statewide name recognition, record fundraising, and appeal under ranked-choice voting. Sullivan benefits from Alaska’s Republican lean and Trump endorsement but faces a top-four primary on August 18 and general election dynamics complicated by a second Republican candidate sharing his name, which has sparked allegations of voter confusion. Minor candidates remain negligible in both polls and market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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