Mary Peltola holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for the 2026 Alaska Senate race due to her strong fundraising—raising over $6.9 million since April compared to incumbent Dan Sullivan's roughly $2 million—and recent polls showing a toss-up or slight lead for the Democrat. Alaska's ranked-choice voting system in the November general, combined with an open jungle primary on August 18, favors candidates who can consolidate second-choice support. Peltola's prior statewide wins as the state's only recent Democratic victor in federal races offset Sullivan's incumbency and name recognition, while minor candidates like Ann Diener, Dustin Darden, and Richard Grayson remain negligible factors. The race remains highly competitive, with late primary results and any shifts in voter turnout among independents and Native communities likely to influence final positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于玛丽·佩尔托拉 56%
丹·沙利文 45%
达斯汀·达登 <1%
安·迪纳尔 <1%
$376,055 交易量
$376,055 交易量
玛丽·佩尔托拉
56%
丹·沙利文
45%
达斯汀·达登
<1%
安·迪纳尔
<1%
理查德·格雷森
<1%
玛丽·佩尔托拉 56%
丹·沙利文 45%
达斯汀·达登 <1%
安·迪纳尔 <1%
$376,055 交易量
$376,055 交易量
玛丽·佩尔托拉
56%
丹·沙利文
45%
达斯汀·达登
<1%
安·迪纳尔
<1%
理查德·格雷森
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for the 2026 Alaska Senate race due to her strong fundraising—raising over $6.9 million since April compared to incumbent Dan Sullivan's roughly $2 million—and recent polls showing a toss-up or slight lead for the Democrat. Alaska's ranked-choice voting system in the November general, combined with an open jungle primary on August 18, favors candidates who can consolidate second-choice support. Peltola's prior statewide wins as the state's only recent Democratic victor in federal races offset Sullivan's incumbency and name recognition, while minor candidates like Ann Diener, Dustin Darden, and Richard Grayson remain negligible factors. The race remains highly competitive, with late primary results and any shifts in voter turnout among independents and Native communities likely to influence final positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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