Massachusetts's status as one of the most reliably Democratic states in Senate elections underpins the market's heavy tilt toward a Democratic winner. Incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third full term against Republican John Deaton in the November 2026 general election, following a Democratic primary on September 1 that pits Markey against Representative Seth Moulton. No Republican has won a Massachusetts Senate race since 2010, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages, urban and suburban turnout patterns, and limited statewide Republican infrastructure. General election polling shows the Democratic nominee leading by wide margins regardless of primary outcome. While a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the gap, historical results and structural factors continue to anchor trader consensus around a Democratic hold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,225 交易量
$24,225 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
97%
共和党
3%
$24,225 交易量
$24,225 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$18,799 交易量
97%
共和党
$5,426 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's status as one of the most reliably Democratic states in Senate elections underpins the market's heavy tilt toward a Democratic winner. Incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third full term against Republican John Deaton in the November 2026 general election, following a Democratic primary on September 1 that pits Markey against Representative Seth Moulton. No Republican has won a Massachusetts Senate race since 2010, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages, urban and suburban turnout patterns, and limited statewide Republican infrastructure. General election polling shows the Democratic nominee leading by wide margins regardless of primary outcome. While a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the gap, historical results and structural factors continue to anchor trader consensus around a Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$24,225结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's status as one of the most reliably Democratic states in Senate elections underpins the market's heavy tilt toward a Democratic winner. Incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third full term against Republican John Deaton in the November 2026 general election, following a Democratic primary on September 1 that pits Markey against Representative Seth Moulton. No Republican has won a Massachusetts Senate race since 2010, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages, urban and suburban turnout patterns, and limited statewide Republican infrastructure. General election polling shows the Democratic nominee leading by wide margins regardless of primary outcome. While a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the gap, historical results and structural factors continue to anchor trader consensus around a Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$24,225结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's status as one of the most reliably Democratic states in Senate elections underpins the market's heavy tilt toward a Democratic winner. Incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third full term against Republican John Deaton in the November 2026 general election, following a Democratic primary on September 1 that pits Markey against Representative Seth Moulton. No Republican has won a Massachusetts Senate race since 2010, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages, urban and suburban turnout patterns, and limited statewide Republican infrastructure. General election polling shows the Democratic nominee leading by wide margins regardless of primary outcome. While a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the gap, historical results and structural factors continue to anchor trader consensus around a Democratic hold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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