Massachusetts voters have consistently elected Democrats to the Senate since 2012, reflecting the state's partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure, which underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a competitive Democratic primary against Representative Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest, with recent polls showing Markey ahead by single digits amid undecided voters and generational debates. Republican contenders, including John Deaton, trail Democratic nominees by wide margins in head-to-head surveys. A Democratic primary surprise producing a damaged nominee or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns indicate substantial structural barriers to a Republican win.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,192 交易量
$13,192 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
4%
$13,192 交易量
$13,192 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,548 交易量
96%
共和党
$4,643 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently elected Democrats to the Senate since 2012, reflecting the state's partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure, which underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a competitive Democratic primary against Representative Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest, with recent polls showing Markey ahead by single digits amid undecided voters and generational debates. Republican contenders, including John Deaton, trail Democratic nominees by wide margins in head-to-head surveys. A Democratic primary surprise producing a damaged nominee or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns indicate substantial structural barriers to a Republican win.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$13,192结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently elected Democrats to the Senate since 2012, reflecting the state's partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure, which underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a competitive Democratic primary against Representative Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest, with recent polls showing Markey ahead by single digits amid undecided voters and generational debates. Republican contenders, including John Deaton, trail Democratic nominees by wide margins in head-to-head surveys. A Democratic primary surprise producing a damaged nominee or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns indicate substantial structural barriers to a Republican win.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$13,192结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts voters have consistently elected Democrats to the Senate since 2012, reflecting the state's partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure, which underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a competitive Democratic primary against Representative Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest, with recent polls showing Markey ahead by single digits amid undecided voters and generational debates. Republican contenders, including John Deaton, trail Democratic nominees by wide margins in head-to-head surveys. A Democratic primary surprise producing a damaged nominee or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns indicate substantial structural barriers to a Republican win.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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