Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey seeks a third full term in the solidly Democratic state of Massachusetts, where no Republican has won a Senate seat since 2010. Polling in the September 1 Democratic primary shows Markey leading Representative Seth Moulton, while Republican nominee John Deaton trails the eventual Democratic candidate by wide margins in general election surveys. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 96.6 percent based on the state's partisan voting patterns, incumbency advantages, and historical election results. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift driven by factors such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, significant health developments, or a national political realignment exceeding typical midterm swings. The primary outcome and final nominee remain key variables before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,225 交易量
$24,225 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
97%
共和党
3%
$24,225 交易量
$24,225 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$18,799 交易量
97%
共和党
$5,426 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey seeks a third full term in the solidly Democratic state of Massachusetts, where no Republican has won a Senate seat since 2010. Polling in the September 1 Democratic primary shows Markey leading Representative Seth Moulton, while Republican nominee John Deaton trails the eventual Democratic candidate by wide margins in general election surveys. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 96.6 percent based on the state's partisan voting patterns, incumbency advantages, and historical election results. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift driven by factors such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, significant health developments, or a national political realignment exceeding typical midterm swings. The primary outcome and final nominee remain key variables before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$24,225结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey seeks a third full term in the solidly Democratic state of Massachusetts, where no Republican has won a Senate seat since 2010. Polling in the September 1 Democratic primary shows Markey leading Representative Seth Moulton, while Republican nominee John Deaton trails the eventual Democratic candidate by wide margins in general election surveys. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 96.6 percent based on the state's partisan voting patterns, incumbency advantages, and historical election results. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift driven by factors such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, significant health developments, or a national political realignment exceeding typical midterm swings. The primary outcome and final nominee remain key variables before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$24,225结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey seeks a third full term in the solidly Democratic state of Massachusetts, where no Republican has won a Senate seat since 2010. Polling in the September 1 Democratic primary shows Markey leading Representative Seth Moulton, while Republican nominee John Deaton trails the eventual Democratic candidate by wide margins in general election surveys. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 96.6 percent based on the state's partisan voting patterns, incumbency advantages, and historical election results. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift driven by factors such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, significant health developments, or a national political realignment exceeding typical midterm swings. The primary outcome and final nominee remain key variables before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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