Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in federal contests, reflecting the state's partisan registration edge and urban-suburban coalition. Incumbent Ed Markey holds strong name recognition and institutional support heading into the September 1 primary against Seth Moulton, while Republican contenders such as John Deaton trail far behind in early general-election polling. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the 95.5% market price on a Democratic winner. A realistic shift would require either an unusually weak Democratic nominee emerging from the primary or a sustained national Republican surge that overcomes Massachusetts' structural baseline—neither of which has materialized in current data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,192 交易量
$13,192 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
4%
$13,192 交易量
$13,192 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,548 交易量
96%
共和党
$4,643 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in federal contests, reflecting the state's partisan registration edge and urban-suburban coalition. Incumbent Ed Markey holds strong name recognition and institutional support heading into the September 1 primary against Seth Moulton, while Republican contenders such as John Deaton trail far behind in early general-election polling. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the 95.5% market price on a Democratic winner. A realistic shift would require either an unusually weak Democratic nominee emerging from the primary or a sustained national Republican surge that overcomes Massachusetts' structural baseline—neither of which has materialized in current data.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$13,192结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in federal contests, reflecting the state's partisan registration edge and urban-suburban coalition. Incumbent Ed Markey holds strong name recognition and institutional support heading into the September 1 primary against Seth Moulton, while Republican contenders such as John Deaton trail far behind in early general-election polling. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the 95.5% market price on a Democratic winner. A realistic shift would require either an unusually weak Democratic nominee emerging from the primary or a sustained national Republican surge that overcomes Massachusetts' structural baseline—neither of which has materialized in current data.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$13,192结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in federal contests, reflecting the state's partisan registration edge and urban-suburban coalition. Incumbent Ed Markey holds strong name recognition and institutional support heading into the September 1 primary against Seth Moulton, while Republican contenders such as John Deaton trail far behind in early general-election polling. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the 95.5% market price on a Democratic winner. A realistic shift would require either an unusually weak Democratic nominee emerging from the primary or a sustained national Republican surge that overcomes Massachusetts' structural baseline—neither of which has materialized in current data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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