New Jersey's entrenched Democratic lean, reinforced by the state's voting patterns in recent presidential contests, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring incumbent Cory Booker. As a two-term senator seeking a third term, Booker faced no primary opposition and benefits from established name recognition, fundraising strength, and structural advantages in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate seat since 1972. The Republican nominee, Justin Murphy, emerged from a fragmented June primary but trails significantly in forecasts rated solid or safe Democratic by major analysts. A late August controversy over Murphy's remarks on Islam has drawn additional scrutiny without shifting the race's fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still alter trajectories before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,464 交易量
$20,464 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
97%
共和党
3%
$20,464 交易量
$20,464 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$10,770 交易量
97%
共和党
$9,694 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New Jersey's entrenched Democratic lean, reinforced by the state's voting patterns in recent presidential contests, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring incumbent Cory Booker. As a two-term senator seeking a third term, Booker faced no primary opposition and benefits from established name recognition, fundraising strength, and structural advantages in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate seat since 1972. The Republican nominee, Justin Murphy, emerged from a fragmented June primary but trails significantly in forecasts rated solid or safe Democratic by major analysts. A late August controversy over Murphy's remarks on Islam has drawn additional scrutiny without shifting the race's fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still alter trajectories before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$20,464结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New Jersey's entrenched Democratic lean, reinforced by the state's voting patterns in recent presidential contests, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring incumbent Cory Booker. As a two-term senator seeking a third term, Booker faced no primary opposition and benefits from established name recognition, fundraising strength, and structural advantages in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate seat since 1972. The Republican nominee, Justin Murphy, emerged from a fragmented June primary but trails significantly in forecasts rated solid or safe Democratic by major analysts. A late August controversy over Murphy's remarks on Islam has drawn additional scrutiny without shifting the race's fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still alter trajectories before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$20,464结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETNew Jersey's entrenched Democratic lean, reinforced by the state's voting patterns in recent presidential contests, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring incumbent Cory Booker. As a two-term senator seeking a third term, Booker faced no primary opposition and benefits from established name recognition, fundraising strength, and structural advantages in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate seat since 1972. The Republican nominee, Justin Murphy, emerged from a fragmented June primary but trails significantly in forecasts rated solid or safe Democratic by major analysts. A late August controversy over Murphy's remarks on Islam has drawn additional scrutiny without shifting the race's fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still alter trajectories before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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