Abdul El-Sayed holds an 87.5% implied probability as the Genesee County winner in Michigan’s 2026 Senate race, while Mike Rogers sits at 10.5%. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with 48.5% statewide, prevailing in a tight contest against Haley Stevens after Mallory McMorrow’s withdrawal. Genesee County, anchored by Flint and long a Democratic stronghold, aligns with El-Sayed’s base of support from public-health experience, progressive platform, and recent endorsements such as AFSCME. Statewide polling through early September shows El-Sayed leading or tied with Rogers in a toss-up general election, with stronger Democratic performance expected in urban and industrial counties like Genesee. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and Trump-endorsed former congressman, maintains limited crossover appeal there despite fundraising strength. Minor candidates and “other” options reflect the binary major-party focus in county-level outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
迈克·罗杰斯（共和党）
47%
阿卜杜勒·埃尔-萨耶德（民主党）
47%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
迈克·罗杰斯（共和党）
$30 交易量
47%
阿卜杜勒·埃尔-萨耶德（民主党）
$122 交易量
47%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.Abdul El-Sayed holds an 87.5% implied probability as the Genesee County winner in Michigan’s 2026 Senate race, while Mike Rogers sits at 10.5%. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with 48.5% statewide, prevailing in a tight contest against Haley Stevens after Mallory McMorrow’s withdrawal. Genesee County, anchored by Flint and long a Democratic stronghold, aligns with El-Sayed’s base of support from public-health experience, progressive platform, and recent endorsements such as AFSCME. Statewide polling through early September shows El-Sayed leading or tied with Rogers in a toss-up general election, with stronger Democratic performance expected in urban and industrial counties like Genesee. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and Trump-endorsed former congressman, maintains limited crossover appeal there despite fundraising strength. Minor candidates and “other” options reflect the binary major-party focus in county-level outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
交易量
$152结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.Abdul El-Sayed holds an 87.5% implied probability as the Genesee County winner in Michigan’s 2026 Senate race, while Mike Rogers sits at 10.5%. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with 48.5% statewide, prevailing in a tight contest against Haley Stevens after Mallory McMorrow’s withdrawal. Genesee County, anchored by Flint and long a Democratic stronghold, aligns with El-Sayed’s base of support from public-health experience, progressive platform, and recent endorsements such as AFSCME. Statewide polling through early September shows El-Sayed leading or tied with Rogers in a toss-up general election, with stronger Democratic performance expected in urban and industrial counties like Genesee. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and Trump-endorsed former congressman, maintains limited crossover appeal there despite fundraising strength. Minor candidates and “other” options reflect the binary major-party focus in county-level outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
交易量
$152结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETAbdul El-Sayed holds an 87.5% implied probability as the Genesee County winner in Michigan’s 2026 Senate race, while Mike Rogers sits at 10.5%. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with 48.5% statewide, prevailing in a tight contest against Haley Stevens after Mallory McMorrow’s withdrawal. Genesee County, anchored by Flint and long a Democratic stronghold, aligns with El-Sayed’s base of support from public-health experience, progressive platform, and recent endorsements such as AFSCME. Statewide polling through early September shows El-Sayed leading or tied with Rogers in a toss-up general election, with stronger Democratic performance expected in urban and industrial counties like Genesee. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and Trump-endorsed former congressman, maintains limited crossover appeal there despite fundraising strength. Minor candidates and “other” options reflect the binary major-party focus in county-level outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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