Vermont's 2026 gubernatorial turnout market remains tightly clustered around the 300K–350K range because historical participation in the state's even-year governor contests has fluctuated modestly between midterm and presidential cycles. Recent primary results, including a competitive Democratic contest that produced higher-than-usual August participation, have not yet produced clear signals about general-election enthusiasm. Incumbent Phil Scott's consistent popularity and the limited name recognition of Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo suggest steady but not exceptional mobilization among core voters. Key variables that could widen the distribution include late-campaign spending, weather on November 3, and any shifts in early or absentee ballot requests. Trader pricing reflects the absence of dominant catalysts capable of pushing totals decisively higher or lower from recent baselines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于325K-350K 43%
35万+ 43%
30万-32.5万 42%
225K-250K 42%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于225K
42%
225K-250K
42%
25万-27.5万
42%
27.5万-30万
42%
30万-32.5万
42%
325K-350K
43%
35万+
43%
325K-350K 43%
35万+ 43%
30万-32.5万 42%
225K-250K 42%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于225K
$0 交易量
42%
225K-250K
$0 交易量
42%
25万-27.5万
$0 交易量
42%
27.5万-30万
$0 交易量
42%
30万-32.5万
$0 交易量
42%
325K-350K
$0 交易量
43%
35万+
$0 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vermont's 2026 gubernatorial turnout market remains tightly clustered around the 300K–350K range because historical participation in the state's even-year governor contests has fluctuated modestly between midterm and presidential cycles. Recent primary results, including a competitive Democratic contest that produced higher-than-usual August participation, have not yet produced clear signals about general-election enthusiasm. Incumbent Phil Scott's consistent popularity and the limited name recognition of Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo suggest steady but not exceptional mobilization among core voters. Key variables that could widen the distribution include late-campaign spending, weather on November 3, and any shifts in early or absentee ballot requests. Trader pricing reflects the absence of dominant catalysts capable of pushing totals decisively higher or lower from recent baselines.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vermont's 2026 gubernatorial turnout market remains tightly clustered around the 300K–350K range because historical participation in the state's even-year governor contests has fluctuated modestly between midterm and presidential cycles. Recent primary results, including a competitive Democratic contest that produced higher-than-usual August participation, have not yet produced clear signals about general-election enthusiasm. Incumbent Phil Scott's consistent popularity and the limited name recognition of Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo suggest steady but not exceptional mobilization among core voters. Key variables that could widen the distribution include late-campaign spending, weather on November 3, and any shifts in early or absentee ballot requests. Trader pricing reflects the absence of dominant catalysts capable of pushing totals decisively higher or lower from recent baselines.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vermont's 2026 gubernatorial turnout market remains tightly clustered around the 300K–350K range because historical participation in the state's even-year governor contests has fluctuated modestly between midterm and presidential cycles. Recent primary results, including a competitive Democratic contest that produced higher-than-usual August participation, have not yet produced clear signals about general-election enthusiasm. Incumbent Phil Scott's consistent popularity and the limited name recognition of Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo suggest steady but not exceptional mobilization among core voters. Key variables that could widen the distribution include late-campaign spending, weather on November 3, and any shifts in early or absentee ballot requests. Trader pricing reflects the absence of dominant catalysts capable of pushing totals decisively higher or lower from recent baselines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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