The tight Nevada governor race between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford, locked in recent polls near 41-49% each with substantial undecided voters, sustains elevated turnout expectations through intense mobilization by both parties. Economic pressures including housing affordability and tourism trends, alongside early Republican advertising dominance exceeding $13 million since late 2025, amplify voter engagement in this battleground state. Primary results from June 2026 and ongoing get-out-the-vote operations tied to swing demographics like nonpartisans and Hispanic voters keep multiple turnout brackets clustered near parity, with separation likely hinging on late-cycle spending surges, economic signals, or shifts in early and mail voting participation ahead of November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于120万-127.5万 44%
90万-97.5万 43%
1,275,000-1,350,000 43%
少于90万 42%
少于90万
42%
90万-97.5万
43%
97.5万-105万
42%
105万-112.5万
42%
112.5万-120万
42%
120万-127.5万
44%
1,275,000-1,350,000
43%
135万以上
42%
120万-127.5万 44%
90万-97.5万 43%
1,275,000-1,350,000 43%
少于90万 42%
少于90万
42%
90万-97.5万
43%
97.5万-105万
42%
105万-112.5万
42%
112.5万-120万
42%
120万-127.5万
44%
1,275,000-1,350,000
43%
135万以上
42%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight Nevada governor race between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic challenger Aaron Ford, locked in recent polls near 41-49% each with substantial undecided voters, sustains elevated turnout expectations through intense mobilization by both parties. Economic pressures including housing affordability and tourism trends, alongside early Republican advertising dominance exceeding $13 million since late 2025, amplify voter engagement in this battleground state. Primary results from June 2026 and ongoing get-out-the-vote operations tied to swing demographics like nonpartisans and Hispanic voters keep multiple turnout brackets clustered near parity, with separation likely hinging on late-cycle spending surges, economic signals, or shifts in early and mail voting participation ahead of November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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