Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces Republican John Braun, the state Senate minority leader with President Trump's endorsement, in the November 3, 2026 general election for Washington's 3rd congressional district. The August 4 top-two primary confirmed this matchup after Perez and Braun advanced, with combined Democratic primary votes exceeding Republican totals in the competitive R+2 PVI district. Recent polling, including a July Emerson survey showing the candidates tied, alongside Perez's 2024 re-election win despite the district supporting Trump, contributes to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The race remains a key battleground, with structural factors like incumbency and the district's swing dynamics shaping assessments ahead of the fall campaign.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,817 交易量
$32,817 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
85%
共和党
12%
$32,817 交易量
$32,817 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
$22,510 交易量
85%
共和党
$10,307 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces Republican John Braun, the state Senate minority leader with President Trump's endorsement, in the November 3, 2026 general election for Washington's 3rd congressional district. The August 4 top-two primary confirmed this matchup after Perez and Braun advanced, with combined Democratic primary votes exceeding Republican totals in the competitive R+2 PVI district. Recent polling, including a July Emerson survey showing the candidates tied, alongside Perez's 2024 re-election win despite the district supporting Trump, contributes to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The race remains a key battleground, with structural factors like incumbency and the district's swing dynamics shaping assessments ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$32,817结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces Republican John Braun, the state Senate minority leader with President Trump's endorsement, in the November 3, 2026 general election for Washington's 3rd congressional district. The August 4 top-two primary confirmed this matchup after Perez and Braun advanced, with combined Democratic primary votes exceeding Republican totals in the competitive R+2 PVI district. Recent polling, including a July Emerson survey showing the candidates tied, alongside Perez's 2024 re-election win despite the district supporting Trump, contributes to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The race remains a key battleground, with structural factors like incumbency and the district's swing dynamics shaping assessments ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,817结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces Republican John Braun, the state Senate minority leader with President Trump's endorsement, in the November 3, 2026 general election for Washington's 3rd congressional district. The August 4 top-two primary confirmed this matchup after Perez and Braun advanced, with combined Democratic primary votes exceeding Republican totals in the competitive R+2 PVI district. Recent polling, including a July Emerson survey showing the candidates tied, alongside Perez's 2024 re-election win despite the district supporting Trump, contributes to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The race remains a key battleground, with structural factors like incumbency and the district's swing dynamics shaping assessments ahead of the fall campaign.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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