Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a strong edge in the WA-03 House race, with trader consensus reflecting her established position in the swing district. Perez defeated the Republican nominee in both 2022 and 2024 despite the area supporting Donald Trump in the presidential contest, aided by her centrist record and substantial fundraising lead. The August 4, 2026, top-two primary confirmed the general election matchup against Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, with both candidates advancing comfortably. July polling showed the race essentially tied, consistent with the Cook Political Report's Toss Up rating and the district's R+2 partisan voting index. Key variables heading into November include voter turnout patterns, Braun's Trump endorsement, and any late shifts in national midterm dynamics that could influence this competitive seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,825 交易量
$32,825 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
85%
共和党
13%
$32,825 交易量
$32,825 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
$22,518 交易量
85%
共和党
$10,307 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a strong edge in the WA-03 House race, with trader consensus reflecting her established position in the swing district. Perez defeated the Republican nominee in both 2022 and 2024 despite the area supporting Donald Trump in the presidential contest, aided by her centrist record and substantial fundraising lead. The August 4, 2026, top-two primary confirmed the general election matchup against Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, with both candidates advancing comfortably. July polling showed the race essentially tied, consistent with the Cook Political Report's Toss Up rating and the district's R+2 partisan voting index. Key variables heading into November include voter turnout patterns, Braun's Trump endorsement, and any late shifts in national midterm dynamics that could influence this competitive seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$32,825结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a strong edge in the WA-03 House race, with trader consensus reflecting her established position in the swing district. Perez defeated the Republican nominee in both 2022 and 2024 despite the area supporting Donald Trump in the presidential contest, aided by her centrist record and substantial fundraising lead. The August 4, 2026, top-two primary confirmed the general election matchup against Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, with both candidates advancing comfortably. July polling showed the race essentially tied, consistent with the Cook Political Report's Toss Up rating and the district's R+2 partisan voting index. Key variables heading into November include voter turnout patterns, Braun's Trump endorsement, and any late shifts in national midterm dynamics that could influence this competitive seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,825结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a strong edge in the WA-03 House race, with trader consensus reflecting her established position in the swing district. Perez defeated the Republican nominee in both 2022 and 2024 despite the area supporting Donald Trump in the presidential contest, aided by her centrist record and substantial fundraising lead. The August 4, 2026, top-two primary confirmed the general election matchup against Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, with both candidates advancing comfortably. July polling showed the race essentially tied, consistent with the Cook Political Report's Toss Up rating and the district's R+2 partisan voting index. Key variables heading into November include voter turnout patterns, Braun's Trump endorsement, and any late shifts in national midterm dynamics that could influence this competitive seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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