The Wisconsin 7th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 88.5% implied probability. Incumbent Tom Tiffany is not seeking re-election and is instead pursuing the state's governorship, creating an open-seat race. Michael Alfonso, a media producer and son-in-law of former Rep. Sean Duffy, secured the Republican nomination on August 11 after winning the primary with roughly 48% of the vote against four challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solid or safe Republican, consistent with its partisan voting index and recent presidential results. Democrats fielded candidates in their concurrent primary, but the district's consistent GOP performance in House elections limits their path to victory ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$34,544 交易量
$34,544 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
89%
民主党
12%
$34,544 交易量
$34,544 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$18,945 交易量
89%
民主党
$15,599 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Wisconsin 7th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 88.5% implied probability. Incumbent Tom Tiffany is not seeking re-election and is instead pursuing the state's governorship, creating an open-seat race. Michael Alfonso, a media producer and son-in-law of former Rep. Sean Duffy, secured the Republican nomination on August 11 after winning the primary with roughly 48% of the vote against four challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solid or safe Republican, consistent with its partisan voting index and recent presidential results. Democrats fielded candidates in their concurrent primary, but the district's consistent GOP performance in House elections limits their path to victory ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$34,544结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Wisconsin 7th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 88.5% implied probability. Incumbent Tom Tiffany is not seeking re-election and is instead pursuing the state's governorship, creating an open-seat race. Michael Alfonso, a media producer and son-in-law of former Rep. Sean Duffy, secured the Republican nomination on August 11 after winning the primary with roughly 48% of the vote against four challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solid or safe Republican, consistent with its partisan voting index and recent presidential results. Democrats fielded candidates in their concurrent primary, but the district's consistent GOP performance in House elections limits their path to victory ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,544结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Wisconsin 7th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 88.5% implied probability. Incumbent Tom Tiffany is not seeking re-election and is instead pursuing the state's governorship, creating an open-seat race. Michael Alfonso, a media producer and son-in-law of former Rep. Sean Duffy, secured the Republican nomination on August 11 after winning the primary with roughly 48% of the vote against four challengers. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solid or safe Republican, consistent with its partisan voting index and recent presidential results. Democrats fielded candidates in their concurrent primary, but the district's consistent GOP performance in House elections limits their path to victory ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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