The Wisconsin 7th congressional district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and 60-38 Republican presidential margin in 2024 underpin the strong trader preference for the Republican nominee in this open-seat contest. Incumbent Tom Tiffany's decision to run for governor has drawn a crowded Republican primary field featuring Michael Alfonso, who holds an early endorsement from Donald Trump, alongside other candidates who have recently established residency in the sprawling northern district. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 11 primaries. Democrats face a more limited field and structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by double digits in recent cycles, keeping their implied probability low despite the general election still being months away.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,024 交易量
$20,024 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
83%
民主党
18%
$20,024 交易量
$20,024 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,505 交易量
83%
民主党
$10,519 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Wisconsin 7th congressional district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and 60-38 Republican presidential margin in 2024 underpin the strong trader preference for the Republican nominee in this open-seat contest. Incumbent Tom Tiffany's decision to run for governor has drawn a crowded Republican primary field featuring Michael Alfonso, who holds an early endorsement from Donald Trump, alongside other candidates who have recently established residency in the sprawling northern district. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 11 primaries. Democrats face a more limited field and structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by double digits in recent cycles, keeping their implied probability low despite the general election still being months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$20,024结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Wisconsin 7th congressional district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and 60-38 Republican presidential margin in 2024 underpin the strong trader preference for the Republican nominee in this open-seat contest. Incumbent Tom Tiffany's decision to run for governor has drawn a crowded Republican primary field featuring Michael Alfonso, who holds an early endorsement from Donald Trump, alongside other candidates who have recently established residency in the sprawling northern district. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 11 primaries. Democrats face a more limited field and structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by double digits in recent cycles, keeping their implied probability low despite the general election still being months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,024结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Wisconsin 7th congressional district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and 60-38 Republican presidential margin in 2024 underpin the strong trader preference for the Republican nominee in this open-seat contest. Incumbent Tom Tiffany's decision to run for governor has drawn a crowded Republican primary field featuring Michael Alfonso, who holds an early endorsement from Donald Trump, alongside other candidates who have recently established residency in the sprawling northern district. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 11 primaries. Democrats face a more limited field and structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republican candidates by double digits in recent cycles, keeping their implied probability low despite the general election still being months away.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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