**WI-07 remains a solidly Republican district (R+11 to R+12 PVI) following incumbent Tom Tiffany’s decision to run for governor, creating an open seat.** Multiple Republican primary candidates—including Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso, Club for Growth-backed Jessi Ebben, and Kevin Hermening—have secured ballot access ahead of the August 11 primary, with recent signature challenges rejected by the Wisconsin Elections Commission. Democratic contenders such as Chris Armstrong and Fred Clark are competing in their own primary but face structural disadvantages in a district where Donald Trump carried 60% in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the GOP nominee is heavily favored to hold the seat in November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,024 交易量
$20,024 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
83%
民主党
18%
$20,024 交易量
$20,024 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,505 交易量
83%
民主党
$10,519 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**WI-07 remains a solidly Republican district (R+11 to R+12 PVI) following incumbent Tom Tiffany’s decision to run for governor, creating an open seat.** Multiple Republican primary candidates—including Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso, Club for Growth-backed Jessi Ebben, and Kevin Hermening—have secured ballot access ahead of the August 11 primary, with recent signature challenges rejected by the Wisconsin Elections Commission. Democratic contenders such as Chris Armstrong and Fred Clark are competing in their own primary but face structural disadvantages in a district where Donald Trump carried 60% in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the GOP nominee is heavily favored to hold the seat in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$20,024结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**WI-07 remains a solidly Republican district (R+11 to R+12 PVI) following incumbent Tom Tiffany’s decision to run for governor, creating an open seat.** Multiple Republican primary candidates—including Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso, Club for Growth-backed Jessi Ebben, and Kevin Hermening—have secured ballot access ahead of the August 11 primary, with recent signature challenges rejected by the Wisconsin Elections Commission. Democratic contenders such as Chris Armstrong and Fred Clark are competing in their own primary but face structural disadvantages in a district where Donald Trump carried 60% in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the GOP nominee is heavily favored to hold the seat in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,024结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**WI-07 remains a solidly Republican district (R+11 to R+12 PVI) following incumbent Tom Tiffany’s decision to run for governor, creating an open seat.** Multiple Republican primary candidates—including Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso, Club for Growth-backed Jessi Ebben, and Kevin Hermening—have secured ballot access ahead of the August 11 primary, with recent signature challenges rejected by the Wisconsin Elections Commission. Democratic contenders such as Chris Armstrong and Fred Clark are competing in their own primary but face structural disadvantages in a district where Donald Trump carried 60% in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that the GOP nominee is heavily favored to hold the seat in November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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