The open WI-07 seat, vacated by incumbent Republican Tom Tiffany's bid for governor, remains a solidly Republican district with an R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Multiple candidates in the August 11 Republican primary, including Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso, position the party to retain the seat in the November general election despite the open-seat dynamic. Democratic contenders such as Fred Clark face structural headwinds in this rural northern Wisconsin district, where polling and race ratings from Cook and others classify the contest as Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus at 82.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent catalysts shifting the balance ahead of the primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,024 交易量
$20,024 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
83%
民主党
18%
$20,024 交易量
$20,024 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,505 交易量
83%
民主党
$10,519 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open WI-07 seat, vacated by incumbent Republican Tom Tiffany's bid for governor, remains a solidly Republican district with an R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Multiple candidates in the August 11 Republican primary, including Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso, position the party to retain the seat in the November general election despite the open-seat dynamic. Democratic contenders such as Fred Clark face structural headwinds in this rural northern Wisconsin district, where polling and race ratings from Cook and others classify the contest as Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus at 82.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent catalysts shifting the balance ahead of the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$20,024结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open WI-07 seat, vacated by incumbent Republican Tom Tiffany's bid for governor, remains a solidly Republican district with an R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Multiple candidates in the August 11 Republican primary, including Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso, position the party to retain the seat in the November general election despite the open-seat dynamic. Democratic contenders such as Fred Clark face structural headwinds in this rural northern Wisconsin district, where polling and race ratings from Cook and others classify the contest as Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus at 82.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent catalysts shifting the balance ahead of the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,024结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open WI-07 seat, vacated by incumbent Republican Tom Tiffany's bid for governor, remains a solidly Republican district with an R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Multiple candidates in the August 11 Republican primary, including Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso, position the party to retain the seat in the November general election despite the open-seat dynamic. Democratic contenders such as Fred Clark face structural headwinds in this rural northern Wisconsin district, where polling and race ratings from Cook and others classify the contest as Safe or Solid Republican. Trader consensus at 82.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent catalysts shifting the balance ahead of the primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题