The open WI-07 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district with an R+11 partisan voting index and a consistent Republican hold dating back more than a decade. Recent primary ballot-access rulings by the Wisconsin Elections Commission cleared multiple GOP contenders—including Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso—while Paul Wassgren suspended his campaign, leaving a competitive but solidly Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 vote. Democratic candidates face structural headwinds in a northern Wisconsin district where the prior Republican nominee captured 63.6 percent in 2024. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's baseline partisan tilt, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of major late-cycle shifts that would alter the general-election outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,024 交易量
$20,024 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
83%
民主党
18%
$20,024 交易量
$20,024 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,505 交易量
83%
民主党
$10,519 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open WI-07 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district with an R+11 partisan voting index and a consistent Republican hold dating back more than a decade. Recent primary ballot-access rulings by the Wisconsin Elections Commission cleared multiple GOP contenders—including Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso—while Paul Wassgren suspended his campaign, leaving a competitive but solidly Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 vote. Democratic candidates face structural headwinds in a northern Wisconsin district where the prior Republican nominee captured 63.6 percent in 2024. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's baseline partisan tilt, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of major late-cycle shifts that would alter the general-election outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$20,024结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open WI-07 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district with an R+11 partisan voting index and a consistent Republican hold dating back more than a decade. Recent primary ballot-access rulings by the Wisconsin Elections Commission cleared multiple GOP contenders—including Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso—while Paul Wassgren suspended his campaign, leaving a competitive but solidly Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 vote. Democratic candidates face structural headwinds in a northern Wisconsin district where the prior Republican nominee captured 63.6 percent in 2024. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's baseline partisan tilt, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of major late-cycle shifts that would alter the general-election outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,024结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open WI-07 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district with an R+11 partisan voting index and a consistent Republican hold dating back more than a decade. Recent primary ballot-access rulings by the Wisconsin Elections Commission cleared multiple GOP contenders—including Trump-endorsed Michael Alfonso—while Paul Wassgren suspended his campaign, leaving a competitive but solidly Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 vote. Democratic candidates face structural headwinds in a northern Wisconsin district where the prior Republican nominee captured 63.6 percent in 2024. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the district's baseline partisan tilt, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of major late-cycle shifts that would alter the general-election outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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