**WI-03 features Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden seeking re-election in a competitive district rated R+3 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index.** The seat flipped to Republicans in 2022 and Van Orden won narrowly in 2024 with 51.4% of the vote. Democrats view the open primary on August 11, 2026, as a strong opportunity, with Rebecca Cooke emerging as the frontrunner after outraising Van Orden in multiple cycles and posting a 50-46 lead in her campaign's June internal poll. Cooke's favorable ratings and strong cash position contrast with Van Orden's double-digit underwater favorability, particularly among independents. Race raters classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Republican, reflecting its potential to influence House control. Traders' consensus favoring the Democratic nominee reflects Cooke's momentum, fundraising edge, and the district's recent competitiveness ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
82%
共和党
-
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$609 交易量
82%
共和党
$601 交易量
-
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**WI-03 features Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden seeking re-election in a competitive district rated R+3 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index.** The seat flipped to Republicans in 2022 and Van Orden won narrowly in 2024 with 51.4% of the vote. Democrats view the open primary on August 11, 2026, as a strong opportunity, with Rebecca Cooke emerging as the frontrunner after outraising Van Orden in multiple cycles and posting a 50-46 lead in her campaign's June internal poll. Cooke's favorable ratings and strong cash position contrast with Van Orden's double-digit underwater favorability, particularly among independents. Race raters classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Republican, reflecting its potential to influence House control. Traders' consensus favoring the Democratic nominee reflects Cooke's momentum, fundraising edge, and the district's recent competitiveness ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$1,210结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**WI-03 features Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden seeking re-election in a competitive district rated R+3 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index.** The seat flipped to Republicans in 2022 and Van Orden won narrowly in 2024 with 51.4% of the vote. Democrats view the open primary on August 11, 2026, as a strong opportunity, with Rebecca Cooke emerging as the frontrunner after outraising Van Orden in multiple cycles and posting a 50-46 lead in her campaign's June internal poll. Cooke's favorable ratings and strong cash position contrast with Van Orden's double-digit underwater favorability, particularly among independents. Race raters classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Republican, reflecting its potential to influence House control. Traders' consensus favoring the Democratic nominee reflects Cooke's momentum, fundraising edge, and the district's recent competitiveness ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,210结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**WI-03 features Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden seeking re-election in a competitive district rated R+3 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index.** The seat flipped to Republicans in 2022 and Van Orden won narrowly in 2024 with 51.4% of the vote. Democrats view the open primary on August 11, 2026, as a strong opportunity, with Rebecca Cooke emerging as the frontrunner after outraising Van Orden in multiple cycles and posting a 50-46 lead in her campaign's June internal poll. Cooke's favorable ratings and strong cash position contrast with Van Orden's double-digit underwater favorability, particularly among independents. Race raters classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Republican, reflecting its potential to influence House control. Traders' consensus favoring the Democratic nominee reflects Cooke's momentum, fundraising edge, and the district's recent competitiveness ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题