Wisconsin's 6th congressional district carries an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican victories, including incumbent Glenn Grothman's 61% win in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. The August 11 Republican primary pits Grothman against challenger Jonathan Peetz, while multiple Democratic candidates, including Brad Smith, compete in their primary. Recent polling shows Grothman ahead of generic or named Democrats by double digits, though independent Mike Thurow narrows the gap in informed-ballot surveys. These structural advantages and historical margins underpin the market's strong Republican consensus, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape before primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,359 交易量
$19,359 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
81%
民主党
16%
$19,359 交易量
$19,359 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$10,700 交易量
81%
民主党
$8,659 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 6th congressional district carries an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican victories, including incumbent Glenn Grothman's 61% win in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. The August 11 Republican primary pits Grothman against challenger Jonathan Peetz, while multiple Democratic candidates, including Brad Smith, compete in their primary. Recent polling shows Grothman ahead of generic or named Democrats by double digits, though independent Mike Thurow narrows the gap in informed-ballot surveys. These structural advantages and historical margins underpin the market's strong Republican consensus, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape before primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$19,359结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 6th congressional district carries an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican victories, including incumbent Glenn Grothman's 61% win in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. The August 11 Republican primary pits Grothman against challenger Jonathan Peetz, while multiple Democratic candidates, including Brad Smith, compete in their primary. Recent polling shows Grothman ahead of generic or named Democrats by double digits, though independent Mike Thurow narrows the gap in informed-ballot surveys. These structural advantages and historical margins underpin the market's strong Republican consensus, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape before primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,359结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 6th congressional district carries an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican victories, including incumbent Glenn Grothman's 61% win in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. The August 11 Republican primary pits Grothman against challenger Jonathan Peetz, while multiple Democratic candidates, including Brad Smith, compete in their primary. Recent polling shows Grothman ahead of generic or named Democrats by double digits, though independent Mike Thurow narrows the gap in informed-ballot surveys. These structural advantages and historical margins underpin the market's strong Republican consensus, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape before primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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