Mark Pocan’s renomination in Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District after an easy Democratic primary victory has reinforced the party’s near-certain hold on the seat ahead of the November general election. The Madison-centered district carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent “Solid” or “Safe” ratings from nonpartisan analysts, and no Republican candidate filed by the June deadline—leaving only the Democratic nominee on the ballot. Pocan’s substantial fundraising edge and history of winning by wide margins further limit any realistic path for an independent or write-in challenge. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome above 95 percent tracks these structural barriers, though a late withdrawal or unforeseen eligibility issue remains the narrow theoretical route to altering the result before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$100,126 交易量
$100,126 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
97%
共和党
2%
$100,126 交易量
$100,126 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$60,643 交易量
97%
共和党
$39,483 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan’s renomination in Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District after an easy Democratic primary victory has reinforced the party’s near-certain hold on the seat ahead of the November general election. The Madison-centered district carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent “Solid” or “Safe” ratings from nonpartisan analysts, and no Republican candidate filed by the June deadline—leaving only the Democratic nominee on the ballot. Pocan’s substantial fundraising edge and history of winning by wide margins further limit any realistic path for an independent or write-in challenge. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome above 95 percent tracks these structural barriers, though a late withdrawal or unforeseen eligibility issue remains the narrow theoretical route to altering the result before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$100,126结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan’s renomination in Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District after an easy Democratic primary victory has reinforced the party’s near-certain hold on the seat ahead of the November general election. The Madison-centered district carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent “Solid” or “Safe” ratings from nonpartisan analysts, and no Republican candidate filed by the June deadline—leaving only the Democratic nominee on the ballot. Pocan’s substantial fundraising edge and history of winning by wide margins further limit any realistic path for an independent or write-in challenge. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome above 95 percent tracks these structural barriers, though a late withdrawal or unforeseen eligibility issue remains the narrow theoretical route to altering the result before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$100,126结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Pocan’s renomination in Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District after an easy Democratic primary victory has reinforced the party’s near-certain hold on the seat ahead of the November general election. The Madison-centered district carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent “Solid” or “Safe” ratings from nonpartisan analysts, and no Republican candidate filed by the June deadline—leaving only the Democratic nominee on the ballot. Pocan’s substantial fundraising edge and history of winning by wide margins further limit any realistic path for an independent or write-in challenge. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome above 95 percent tracks these structural barriers, though a late withdrawal or unforeseen eligibility issue remains the narrow theoretical route to altering the result before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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