Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and the incumbent's consistent 70 percent-plus general election margins. Mark Pocan faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11 vote, while the Republican field remains limited and underfunded. Major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the Democratic nominee a 97 percent implied probability. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen primary upset, late scandal, or unprecedented national swing large enough to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage and the incumbent's substantial cash reserves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$91,275 交易量
$91,275 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
97%
共和党
2%
$91,275 交易量
$91,275 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$53,710 交易量
97%
共和党
$37,565 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and the incumbent's consistent 70 percent-plus general election margins. Mark Pocan faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11 vote, while the Republican field remains limited and underfunded. Major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the Democratic nominee a 97 percent implied probability. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen primary upset, late scandal, or unprecedented national swing large enough to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage and the incumbent's substantial cash reserves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$91,275结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and the incumbent's consistent 70 percent-plus general election margins. Mark Pocan faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11 vote, while the Republican field remains limited and underfunded. Major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the Democratic nominee a 97 percent implied probability. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen primary upset, late scandal, or unprecedented national swing large enough to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage and the incumbent's substantial cash reserves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$91,275结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and the incumbent's consistent 70 percent-plus general election margins. Mark Pocan faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11 vote, while the Republican field remains limited and underfunded. Major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the Democratic nominee a 97 percent implied probability. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen primary upset, late scandal, or unprecedented national swing large enough to overcome the district's structural Democratic advantage and the incumbent's substantial cash reserves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题