The WI-01 race centers on incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeking reelection in a district with an R+2 partisan voter index, where he prevailed by roughly 8 points in 2024. Filing for the August 11 primaries closed June 1, with multiple Democrats entering and early polling showing Steil ahead of at least one challenger by single digits. Trader consensus currently prices the Democratic nominee as the slight favorite, which diverges from most expert race ratings that classify the seat as Likely or Solid Republican. Key variables ahead of the November 3 general include primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in national midterm conditions that could affect turnout or swing-voter behavior in this southeastern Wisconsin district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
57%
共和党
41%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$586 交易量
57%
共和党
$643 交易量
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The WI-01 race centers on incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeking reelection in a district with an R+2 partisan voter index, where he prevailed by roughly 8 points in 2024. Filing for the August 11 primaries closed June 1, with multiple Democrats entering and early polling showing Steil ahead of at least one challenger by single digits. Trader consensus currently prices the Democratic nominee as the slight favorite, which diverges from most expert race ratings that classify the seat as Likely or Solid Republican. Key variables ahead of the November 3 general include primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in national midterm conditions that could affect turnout or swing-voter behavior in this southeastern Wisconsin district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$1,229结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The WI-01 race centers on incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeking reelection in a district with an R+2 partisan voter index, where he prevailed by roughly 8 points in 2024. Filing for the August 11 primaries closed June 1, with multiple Democrats entering and early polling showing Steil ahead of at least one challenger by single digits. Trader consensus currently prices the Democratic nominee as the slight favorite, which diverges from most expert race ratings that classify the seat as Likely or Solid Republican. Key variables ahead of the November 3 general include primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in national midterm conditions that could affect turnout or swing-voter behavior in this southeastern Wisconsin district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,229结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The WI-01 race centers on incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeking reelection in a district with an R+2 partisan voter index, where he prevailed by roughly 8 points in 2024. Filing for the August 11 primaries closed June 1, with multiple Democrats entering and early polling showing Steil ahead of at least one challenger by single digits. Trader consensus currently prices the Democratic nominee as the slight favorite, which diverges from most expert race ratings that classify the seat as Likely or Solid Republican. Key variables ahead of the November 3 general include primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and any shifts in national midterm conditions that could affect turnout or swing-voter behavior in this southeastern Wisconsin district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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