Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks re-election in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district, a southeastern seat rated R+2 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by Republicans in recent cycles. Steil faces no primary opposition ahead of the August 11 nominating contests, while Democrats select among Mitchell Berman, Miguel Aranda, and Lorenzo Santos. The district’s modest Republican tilt and Steil’s prior 54 percent general-election margin underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The upcoming Democratic primary and November 3 general election timeline remain the principal near-term catalysts, with no major shifts in fundraising, endorsements, or polling reported in recent weeks that would alter the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党
76%
民主党
24%
共和党
76%
民主党
24%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks re-election in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district, a southeastern seat rated R+2 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by Republicans in recent cycles. Steil faces no primary opposition ahead of the August 11 nominating contests, while Democrats select among Mitchell Berman, Miguel Aranda, and Lorenzo Santos. The district’s modest Republican tilt and Steil’s prior 54 percent general-election margin underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The upcoming Democratic primary and November 3 general election timeline remain the principal near-term catalysts, with no major shifts in fundraising, endorsements, or polling reported in recent weeks that would alter the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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