The race for Wisconsin's 1st congressional district remains tightly contested because the seat carries a narrow Republican lean (R+2 PVI) and sits among Democratic targets in the 2026 midterms, even as incumbent Bryan Steil seeks a fifth term. Multiple Democratic primary contenders—including Milwaukee alderman Peter Burgelis, Randy Bryce, and nurse Mitchell Berman—are positioning themselves as working-class alternatives ahead of the August 11 primary, generating early visibility and small-donor momentum that has narrowed trader assessments. National midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising gaps, and the eventual Democratic nominee's ability to consolidate support in Racine and Kenosha counties will likely determine whether probabilities shift decisively before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
57%
共和党
44%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$586 交易量
57%
共和党
$643 交易量
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The race for Wisconsin's 1st congressional district remains tightly contested because the seat carries a narrow Republican lean (R+2 PVI) and sits among Democratic targets in the 2026 midterms, even as incumbent Bryan Steil seeks a fifth term. Multiple Democratic primary contenders—including Milwaukee alderman Peter Burgelis, Randy Bryce, and nurse Mitchell Berman—are positioning themselves as working-class alternatives ahead of the August 11 primary, generating early visibility and small-donor momentum that has narrowed trader assessments. National midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising gaps, and the eventual Democratic nominee's ability to consolidate support in Racine and Kenosha counties will likely determine whether probabilities shift decisively before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$1,229结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The race for Wisconsin's 1st congressional district remains tightly contested because the seat carries a narrow Republican lean (R+2 PVI) and sits among Democratic targets in the 2026 midterms, even as incumbent Bryan Steil seeks a fifth term. Multiple Democratic primary contenders—including Milwaukee alderman Peter Burgelis, Randy Bryce, and nurse Mitchell Berman—are positioning themselves as working-class alternatives ahead of the August 11 primary, generating early visibility and small-donor momentum that has narrowed trader assessments. National midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising gaps, and the eventual Democratic nominee's ability to consolidate support in Racine and Kenosha counties will likely determine whether probabilities shift decisively before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,229结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The race for Wisconsin's 1st congressional district remains tightly contested because the seat carries a narrow Republican lean (R+2 PVI) and sits among Democratic targets in the 2026 midterms, even as incumbent Bryan Steil seeks a fifth term. Multiple Democratic primary contenders—including Milwaukee alderman Peter Burgelis, Randy Bryce, and nurse Mitchell Berman—are positioning themselves as working-class alternatives ahead of the August 11 primary, generating early visibility and small-donor momentum that has narrowed trader assessments. National midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising gaps, and the eventual Democratic nominee's ability to consolidate support in Racine and Kenosha counties will likely determine whether probabilities shift decisively before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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