The WI-01 race stays closely contested because the district's modest Republican lean (R+2 partisan voting index) and Bryan Steil's 54% win in 2024 leave room for Democratic inroads in a midterm environment. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including recent entrants positioning themselves as working-class alternatives, have kept the nomination process fluid ahead of the August 11 vote, while Steil faces limited Republican opposition. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over which nominee emerges, fundraising gaps, and broader turnout patterns that could shift margins. Primary results or shifts in national economic and policy debates before November could widen the gap by clarifying candidate strength and voter priorities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党
56%
共和党
55%
民主党
56%
共和党
55%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The WI-01 race stays closely contested because the district's modest Republican lean (R+2 partisan voting index) and Bryan Steil's 54% win in 2024 leave room for Democratic inroads in a midterm environment. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including recent entrants positioning themselves as working-class alternatives, have kept the nomination process fluid ahead of the August 11 vote, while Steil faces limited Republican opposition. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over which nominee emerges, fundraising gaps, and broader turnout patterns that could shift margins. Primary results or shifts in national economic and policy debates before November could widen the gap by clarifying candidate strength and voter priorities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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