**Republican candidate Tony Wied holds a strong position in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District heading into the 2026 cycle.** The incumbent, first elected in 2024 with 57.3% of the vote, faces an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. These assessments reflect the district’s structural Republican advantage, even in a national environment expected to favor Democrats. On the Democratic side, a competitive August 11 primary among candidates including Rick Crosson, Katrina deVille, Benjamin Hable, and Mark Scheffler (with recent ballot challenges) signals organized opposition, yet limited fundraising and the district’s voting history keep general-election prospects constrained. The August primary and November 3 general election timeline further anchors trader expectations around continuity rather than an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
77%
民主党
23%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$4,171 交易量
77%
民主党
$4,035 交易量
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican candidate Tony Wied holds a strong position in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District heading into the 2026 cycle.** The incumbent, first elected in 2024 with 57.3% of the vote, faces an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. These assessments reflect the district’s structural Republican advantage, even in a national environment expected to favor Democrats. On the Democratic side, a competitive August 11 primary among candidates including Rick Crosson, Katrina deVille, Benjamin Hable, and Mark Scheffler (with recent ballot challenges) signals organized opposition, yet limited fundraising and the district’s voting history keep general-election prospects constrained. The August primary and November 3 general election timeline further anchors trader expectations around continuity rather than an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$8,207结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican candidate Tony Wied holds a strong position in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District heading into the 2026 cycle.** The incumbent, first elected in 2024 with 57.3% of the vote, faces an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. These assessments reflect the district’s structural Republican advantage, even in a national environment expected to favor Democrats. On the Democratic side, a competitive August 11 primary among candidates including Rick Crosson, Katrina deVille, Benjamin Hable, and Mark Scheffler (with recent ballot challenges) signals organized opposition, yet limited fundraising and the district’s voting history keep general-election prospects constrained. The August primary and November 3 general election timeline further anchors trader expectations around continuity rather than an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,207结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican candidate Tony Wied holds a strong position in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District heading into the 2026 cycle.** The incumbent, first elected in 2024 with 57.3% of the vote, faces an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. These assessments reflect the district’s structural Republican advantage, even in a national environment expected to favor Democrats. On the Democratic side, a competitive August 11 primary among candidates including Rick Crosson, Katrina deVille, Benjamin Hable, and Mark Scheffler (with recent ballot challenges) signals organized opposition, yet limited fundraising and the district’s voting history keep general-election prospects constrained. The August primary and November 3 general election timeline further anchors trader expectations around continuity rather than an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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