Incumbent Democrat Brad Sherman advanced from California’s June 2 primary to face Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election for the 32nd House district. The seat’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results exceeding 60 percent for the party in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus. Sherman’s decades-long tenure and name recognition in Los Angeles suburbs further consolidate support, while the sole Republican contender faces structural headwinds in a district rated solid Democratic by major forecasters. A late scandal, health event, or unanticipated national shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current positioning indicate limited realistic pathways for Republican gains by Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,479 交易量
$14,479 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$14,479 交易量
$14,479 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,938 交易量
93%
共和党
$8,541 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Sherman advanced from California’s June 2 primary to face Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election for the 32nd House district. The seat’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results exceeding 60 percent for the party in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus. Sherman’s decades-long tenure and name recognition in Los Angeles suburbs further consolidate support, while the sole Republican contender faces structural headwinds in a district rated solid Democratic by major forecasters. A late scandal, health event, or unanticipated national shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current positioning indicate limited realistic pathways for Republican gains by Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$14,479结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brad Sherman advanced from California’s June 2 primary to face Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election for the 32nd House district. The seat’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results exceeding 60 percent for the party in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus. Sherman’s decades-long tenure and name recognition in Los Angeles suburbs further consolidate support, while the sole Republican contender faces structural headwinds in a district rated solid Democratic by major forecasters. A late scandal, health event, or unanticipated national shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current positioning indicate limited realistic pathways for Republican gains by Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,479结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Brad Sherman advanced from California’s June 2 primary to face Republican Larry Thompson in the November general election for the 32nd House district. The seat’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent election results exceeding 60 percent for the party in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus. Sherman’s decades-long tenure and name recognition in Los Angeles suburbs further consolidate support, while the sole Republican contender faces structural headwinds in a district rated solid Democratic by major forecasters. A late scandal, health event, or unanticipated national shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current positioning indicate limited realistic pathways for Republican gains by Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题