Jim Schwartzel secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 19th Congressional District after winning a crowded August 18 primary with 29 percent of the vote against candidates including the Trump-endorsed Catalina Lauf. The open seat, previously held by Byron Donalds who is running for governor, sits in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters and carried by Trump by roughly 30 points in 2024. Schwartzel's status as a lifelong local resident and media executive provided an edge over out-of-state challengers. Victor Arias won the Democratic primary but faces a steep path in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Schwartzel reflects the district's partisan lean and limited general-election competition. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,910 交易量
$17,910 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·施瓦策尔（共和党）
95%
Victor Arias（民主党）
6%
$17,910 交易量
$17,910 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·施瓦策尔（共和党）
$6,159 交易量
95%
Victor Arias（民主党）
$11,751 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jim Schwartzel secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 19th Congressional District after winning a crowded August 18 primary with 29 percent of the vote against candidates including the Trump-endorsed Catalina Lauf. The open seat, previously held by Byron Donalds who is running for governor, sits in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters and carried by Trump by roughly 30 points in 2024. Schwartzel's status as a lifelong local resident and media executive provided an edge over out-of-state challengers. Victor Arias won the Democratic primary but faces a steep path in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Schwartzel reflects the district's partisan lean and limited general-election competition. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$17,910结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jim Schwartzel secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 19th Congressional District after winning a crowded August 18 primary with 29 percent of the vote against candidates including the Trump-endorsed Catalina Lauf. The open seat, previously held by Byron Donalds who is running for governor, sits in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters and carried by Trump by roughly 30 points in 2024. Schwartzel's status as a lifelong local resident and media executive provided an edge over out-of-state challengers. Victor Arias won the Democratic primary but faces a steep path in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Schwartzel reflects the district's partisan lean and limited general-election competition. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,910结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETJim Schwartzel secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 19th Congressional District after winning a crowded August 18 primary with 29 percent of the vote against candidates including the Trump-endorsed Catalina Lauf. The open seat, previously held by Byron Donalds who is running for governor, sits in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters and carried by Trump by roughly 30 points in 2024. Schwartzel's status as a lifelong local resident and media executive provided an edge over out-of-state challengers. Victor Arias won the Democratic primary but faces a steep path in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Schwartzel reflects the district's partisan lean and limited general-election competition. A late scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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