Florida's 19th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has produced consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The open seat, created when incumbent Byron Donalds entered the gubernatorial race, drew a crowded Republican primary set for August 18 while Democratic contenders face the same structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent redistricting preserved the area's partisan composition. A meaningful shift in odds would require either a damaging scandal emerging from the Republican primary that weakens the eventual nominee or a broad national swing toward Democrats by late 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$4,643 交易量
93%
民主党
$1,173 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has produced consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The open seat, created when incumbent Byron Donalds entered the gubernatorial race, drew a crowded Republican primary set for August 18 while Democratic contenders face the same structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent redistricting preserved the area's partisan composition. A meaningful shift in odds would require either a damaging scandal emerging from the Republican primary that weakens the eventual nominee or a broad national swing toward Democrats by late 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$5,817结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has produced consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The open seat, created when incumbent Byron Donalds entered the gubernatorial race, drew a crowded Republican primary set for August 18 while Democratic contenders face the same structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent redistricting preserved the area's partisan composition. A meaningful shift in odds would require either a damaging scandal emerging from the Republican primary that weakens the eventual nominee or a broad national swing toward Democrats by late 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,817结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and has produced consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The open seat, created when incumbent Byron Donalds entered the gubernatorial race, drew a crowded Republican primary set for August 18 while Democratic contenders face the same structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent redistricting preserved the area's partisan composition. A meaningful shift in odds would require either a damaging scandal emerging from the Republican primary that weakens the eventual nominee or a broad national swing toward Democrats by late 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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