Florida's 19th Congressional District leans strongly Republican, with the seat opening after incumbent Byron Donalds retired to pursue the governorship. Jim Schwartzel secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary by prevailing in a crowded field that included several out-of-state candidates and Trump-endorsed contenders, drawing on his profile as a local media executive and resident with endorsements from House leadership. Victor Arias won the Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican based on its voting history, including a substantial Trump margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited time remaining before the November general election. A late scandal, unusually low Republican turnout, or significant national shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,012 交易量
$18,012 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·施瓦策尔（共和党）
95%
Victor Arias（民主党）
6%
$18,012 交易量
$18,012 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·施瓦策尔（共和党）
$6,261 交易量
95%
Victor Arias（民主党）
$11,751 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th Congressional District leans strongly Republican, with the seat opening after incumbent Byron Donalds retired to pursue the governorship. Jim Schwartzel secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary by prevailing in a crowded field that included several out-of-state candidates and Trump-endorsed contenders, drawing on his profile as a local media executive and resident with endorsements from House leadership. Victor Arias won the Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican based on its voting history, including a substantial Trump margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited time remaining before the November general election. A late scandal, unusually low Republican turnout, or significant national shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$18,012结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th Congressional District leans strongly Republican, with the seat opening after incumbent Byron Donalds retired to pursue the governorship. Jim Schwartzel secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary by prevailing in a crowded field that included several out-of-state candidates and Trump-endorsed contenders, drawing on his profile as a local media executive and resident with endorsements from House leadership. Victor Arias won the Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican based on its voting history, including a substantial Trump margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited time remaining before the November general election. A late scandal, unusually low Republican turnout, or significant national shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,012结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETFlorida's 19th Congressional District leans strongly Republican, with the seat opening after incumbent Byron Donalds retired to pursue the governorship. Jim Schwartzel secured the GOP nomination in the August 2026 primary by prevailing in a crowded field that included several out-of-state candidates and Trump-endorsed contenders, drawing on his profile as a local media executive and resident with endorsements from House leadership. Victor Arias won the Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Republican based on its voting history, including a substantial Trump margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited time remaining before the November general election. A late scandal, unusually low Republican turnout, or significant national shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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