Texas's 19th Congressional District has consistently delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 2024 presidential lean exceeding 50 points, which underpins trader consensus around Tom Sell's 94.5% implied probability. Sell secured the GOP nomination in a May 2026 runoff by 29 points after advancing from a crowded primary, drawing endorsements from House Republican leadership and business organizations while raising over $2 million. Kyle Rable, the unopposed Democratic nominee and local party official, trails sharply in fundraising and lacks comparable institutional support in the sprawling rural and agricultural district. With the November 3 general election weeks away, late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated turnout shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current resource disparities limit realistic paths for the challenger.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,027 交易量
$25,027 交易量
2026-11-02
汤姆·塞尔（共和党）
95%
Kyle Rable（民主党）
5%
$25,027 交易量
$25,027 交易量
2026-11-02
汤姆·塞尔（共和党）
$2,921 交易量
95%
Kyle Rable（民主党）
$22,106 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th Congressional District has consistently delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 2024 presidential lean exceeding 50 points, which underpins trader consensus around Tom Sell's 94.5% implied probability. Sell secured the GOP nomination in a May 2026 runoff by 29 points after advancing from a crowded primary, drawing endorsements from House Republican leadership and business organizations while raising over $2 million. Kyle Rable, the unopposed Democratic nominee and local party official, trails sharply in fundraising and lacks comparable institutional support in the sprawling rural and agricultural district. With the November 3 general election weeks away, late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated turnout shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current resource disparities limit realistic paths for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$25,027结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th Congressional District has consistently delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 2024 presidential lean exceeding 50 points, which underpins trader consensus around Tom Sell's 94.5% implied probability. Sell secured the GOP nomination in a May 2026 runoff by 29 points after advancing from a crowded primary, drawing endorsements from House Republican leadership and business organizations while raising over $2 million. Kyle Rable, the unopposed Democratic nominee and local party official, trails sharply in fundraising and lacks comparable institutional support in the sprawling rural and agricultural district. With the November 3 general election weeks away, late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated turnout shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current resource disparities limit realistic paths for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,027结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETTexas's 19th Congressional District has consistently delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 2024 presidential lean exceeding 50 points, which underpins trader consensus around Tom Sell's 94.5% implied probability. Sell secured the GOP nomination in a May 2026 runoff by 29 points after advancing from a crowded primary, drawing endorsements from House Republican leadership and business organizations while raising over $2 million. Kyle Rable, the unopposed Democratic nominee and local party official, trails sharply in fundraising and lacks comparable institutional support in the sprawling rural and agricultural district. With the November 3 general election weeks away, late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated turnout shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current resource disparities limit realistic paths for the challenger.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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