The strong Republican partisan lean of Texas's 19th Congressional District, rated R+25 or higher by multiple forecasters, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Jodey Arrington's retirement opened the seat for the November 2026 general election. Agriculture lobbyist Tom Sell secured the GOP nomination after defeating Abraham Enriquez in the May runoff. Democratic nominee Kyle Rable faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently delivered large Republican margins. While a major scandal, national political shift, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, historical results and early polling indicate limited pathways for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$1,959 交易量
94%
民主党
$7,519 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican partisan lean of Texas's 19th Congressional District, rated R+25 or higher by multiple forecasters, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Jodey Arrington's retirement opened the seat for the November 2026 general election. Agriculture lobbyist Tom Sell secured the GOP nomination after defeating Abraham Enriquez in the May runoff. Democratic nominee Kyle Rable faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently delivered large Republican margins. While a major scandal, national political shift, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, historical results and early polling indicate limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$9,478结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican partisan lean of Texas's 19th Congressional District, rated R+25 or higher by multiple forecasters, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Jodey Arrington's retirement opened the seat for the November 2026 general election. Agriculture lobbyist Tom Sell secured the GOP nomination after defeating Abraham Enriquez in the May runoff. Democratic nominee Kyle Rable faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently delivered large Republican margins. While a major scandal, national political shift, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, historical results and early polling indicate limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,478结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican partisan lean of Texas's 19th Congressional District, rated R+25 or higher by multiple forecasters, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Jodey Arrington's retirement opened the seat for the November 2026 general election. Agriculture lobbyist Tom Sell secured the GOP nomination after defeating Abraham Enriquez in the May runoff. Democratic nominee Kyle Rable faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently delivered large Republican margins. While a major scandal, national political shift, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, historical results and early polling indicate limited pathways for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题