The solidly Republican character of Texas's 19th congressional district, rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Jodey Arrington's retirement opened the seat, yet Tom Sell secured the nomination after prevailing in the May runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable faces limited prospects in this rural West Texas area with a strong partisan voting index. Recent primary results and consistent nonpartisan assessments reinforce the structural advantage. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unusually large national midterm swing, an unforeseen scandal, or sharp deterioration in local economic conditions to meaningfully shift the implied probability before the November 2026 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$1,959 交易量
94%
民主党
$7,519 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Texas's 19th congressional district, rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Jodey Arrington's retirement opened the seat, yet Tom Sell secured the nomination after prevailing in the May runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable faces limited prospects in this rural West Texas area with a strong partisan voting index. Recent primary results and consistent nonpartisan assessments reinforce the structural advantage. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unusually large national midterm swing, an unforeseen scandal, or sharp deterioration in local economic conditions to meaningfully shift the implied probability before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$9,478结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Texas's 19th congressional district, rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Jodey Arrington's retirement opened the seat, yet Tom Sell secured the nomination after prevailing in the May runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable faces limited prospects in this rural West Texas area with a strong partisan voting index. Recent primary results and consistent nonpartisan assessments reinforce the structural advantage. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unusually large national midterm swing, an unforeseen scandal, or sharp deterioration in local economic conditions to meaningfully shift the implied probability before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,478结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Texas's 19th congressional district, rated Safe or Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Jodey Arrington's retirement opened the seat, yet Tom Sell secured the nomination after prevailing in the May runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable faces limited prospects in this rural West Texas area with a strong partisan voting index. Recent primary results and consistent nonpartisan assessments reinforce the structural advantage. A narrow path for Democrats would require an unusually large national midterm swing, an unforeseen scandal, or sharp deterioration in local economic conditions to meaningfully shift the implied probability before the November 2026 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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