Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro's strong position in Texas's 20th congressional district underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The San Antonio-based seat has consistently leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with Castro securing an easy primary victory in March 2026 and maintaining active fundraising ahead of the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's urban voter base and limited Republican opposition. While a late scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could alter dynamics, such developments remain unlikely to overcome the structural advantages in this cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,988 交易量
$10,988 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$10,988 交易量
$10,988 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$9,001 交易量
94%
共和党
$1,987 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro's strong position in Texas's 20th congressional district underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The San Antonio-based seat has consistently leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with Castro securing an easy primary victory in March 2026 and maintaining active fundraising ahead of the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's urban voter base and limited Republican opposition. While a late scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could alter dynamics, such developments remain unlikely to overcome the structural advantages in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$10,988结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro's strong position in Texas's 20th congressional district underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The San Antonio-based seat has consistently leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with Castro securing an easy primary victory in March 2026 and maintaining active fundraising ahead of the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's urban voter base and limited Republican opposition. While a late scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could alter dynamics, such developments remain unlikely to overcome the structural advantages in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,988结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro's strong position in Texas's 20th congressional district underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. The San Antonio-based seat has consistently leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with Castro securing an easy primary victory in March 2026 and maintaining active fundraising ahead of the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's urban voter base and limited Republican opposition. While a late scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could alter dynamics, such developments remain unlikely to overcome the structural advantages in this cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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