Incumbent Randy Weber secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 14th Congressional District with minimal primary opposition, while Democrat Thurman Bartie emerged from a May runoff to face him in the November general election. The seat carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in southeast Texas voting patterns. Weber's long tenure since 2013 and the district's structural lean provide the primary basis for the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome, with limited evidence of Democratic momentum or external events capable of shifting the race into competitive territory before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
83%
民主党
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,666 交易量
83%
民主党
$6,609 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Randy Weber secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 14th Congressional District with minimal primary opposition, while Democrat Thurman Bartie emerged from a May runoff to face him in the November general election. The seat carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in southeast Texas voting patterns. Weber's long tenure since 2013 and the district's structural lean provide the primary basis for the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome, with limited evidence of Democratic momentum or external events capable of shifting the race into competitive territory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$9,275结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Randy Weber secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 14th Congressional District with minimal primary opposition, while Democrat Thurman Bartie emerged from a May runoff to face him in the November general election. The seat carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in southeast Texas voting patterns. Weber's long tenure since 2013 and the district's structural lean provide the primary basis for the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome, with limited evidence of Democratic momentum or external events capable of shifting the race into competitive territory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,275结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Randy Weber secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 14th Congressional District with minimal primary opposition, while Democrat Thurman Bartie emerged from a May runoff to face him in the November general election. The seat carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in southeast Texas voting patterns. Weber's long tenure since 2013 and the district's structural lean provide the primary basis for the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome, with limited evidence of Democratic momentum or external events capable of shifting the race into competitive territory before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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