**Incumbent Randy Weber secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 14th congressional district with an 88.6% primary win in March 2026, while Democrat Thurman Bartie advanced from a May runoff by a slim 51–49% margin.** The district’s established R+12 partisan lean and Weber’s long tenure since 2013 have anchored trader consensus around an 82.5% Republican probability. No competitive polling or notable fundraising edges have emerged for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election, and the seat has shown consistent Republican dominance in recent cycles. Primary outcomes and the absence of late-breaking developments have kept probabilities stable, with traders viewing the race as non-competitive barring unforeseen events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
83%
民主党
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,666 交易量
83%
民主党
$6,609 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Randy Weber secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 14th congressional district with an 88.6% primary win in March 2026, while Democrat Thurman Bartie advanced from a May runoff by a slim 51–49% margin.** The district’s established R+12 partisan lean and Weber’s long tenure since 2013 have anchored trader consensus around an 82.5% Republican probability. No competitive polling or notable fundraising edges have emerged for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election, and the seat has shown consistent Republican dominance in recent cycles. Primary outcomes and the absence of late-breaking developments have kept probabilities stable, with traders viewing the race as non-competitive barring unforeseen events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$9,275结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Randy Weber secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 14th congressional district with an 88.6% primary win in March 2026, while Democrat Thurman Bartie advanced from a May runoff by a slim 51–49% margin.** The district’s established R+12 partisan lean and Weber’s long tenure since 2013 have anchored trader consensus around an 82.5% Republican probability. No competitive polling or notable fundraising edges have emerged for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election, and the seat has shown consistent Republican dominance in recent cycles. Primary outcomes and the absence of late-breaking developments have kept probabilities stable, with traders viewing the race as non-competitive barring unforeseen events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,275结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Randy Weber secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 14th congressional district with an 88.6% primary win in March 2026, while Democrat Thurman Bartie advanced from a May runoff by a slim 51–49% margin.** The district’s established R+12 partisan lean and Weber’s long tenure since 2013 have anchored trader consensus around an 82.5% Republican probability. No competitive polling or notable fundraising edges have emerged for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election, and the seat has shown consistent Republican dominance in recent cycles. Primary outcomes and the absence of late-breaking developments have kept probabilities stable, with traders viewing the race as non-competitive barring unforeseen events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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