The district's entrenched Democratic advantage, driven by voter registration patterns favoring the party by wide margins and consistent past election results, underpins the strong trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November general election. Incumbent Josh Harder advanced decisively from the June 2 primary, defeating a divided Republican field and securing the nomination with roughly 60 percent of the vote. This outcome aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Democratic. While the implied probability leaves limited room for reversal, factors such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal, major personal or legal development affecting the frontrunner, or an unforeseen national political shift could still influence the final result before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,062 交易量
$15,062 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$15,062 交易量
$15,062 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$11,243 交易量
94%
共和党
$3,819 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic advantage, driven by voter registration patterns favoring the party by wide margins and consistent past election results, underpins the strong trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November general election. Incumbent Josh Harder advanced decisively from the June 2 primary, defeating a divided Republican field and securing the nomination with roughly 60 percent of the vote. This outcome aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Democratic. While the implied probability leaves limited room for reversal, factors such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal, major personal or legal development affecting the frontrunner, or an unforeseen national political shift could still influence the final result before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$15,062结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic advantage, driven by voter registration patterns favoring the party by wide margins and consistent past election results, underpins the strong trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November general election. Incumbent Josh Harder advanced decisively from the June 2 primary, defeating a divided Republican field and securing the nomination with roughly 60 percent of the vote. This outcome aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Democratic. While the implied probability leaves limited room for reversal, factors such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal, major personal or legal development affecting the frontrunner, or an unforeseen national political shift could still influence the final result before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,062结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's entrenched Democratic advantage, driven by voter registration patterns favoring the party by wide margins and consistent past election results, underpins the strong trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November general election. Incumbent Josh Harder advanced decisively from the June 2 primary, defeating a divided Republican field and securing the nomination with roughly 60 percent of the vote. This outcome aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Democratic. While the implied probability leaves limited room for reversal, factors such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal, major personal or legal development affecting the frontrunner, or an unforeseen national political shift could still influence the final result before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题