Democratic Rep. Josh Harder’s strong performance in the June 2, 2026 primary, where he secured roughly 60 percent of the vote and advanced easily alongside a Republican challenger, reinforces the district’s established partisan lean. The California 9th remains a solidly Democratic seat with a partisan voting index favoring the party by approximately eight points, built on consistent voter registration advantages and overlap with prior boundaries. Trader consensus reflects this structural edge and the absence of competitive Republican momentum or notable primary upsets. Low-probability shifts could arise from unexpected national political realignments, significant candidate health or scandal developments before November, or unusually high turnout swings in a low-visibility midterm cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,059 交易量
$15,059 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$15,059 交易量
$15,059 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$11,243 交易量
94%
共和党
$3,817 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Josh Harder’s strong performance in the June 2, 2026 primary, where he secured roughly 60 percent of the vote and advanced easily alongside a Republican challenger, reinforces the district’s established partisan lean. The California 9th remains a solidly Democratic seat with a partisan voting index favoring the party by approximately eight points, built on consistent voter registration advantages and overlap with prior boundaries. Trader consensus reflects this structural edge and the absence of competitive Republican momentum or notable primary upsets. Low-probability shifts could arise from unexpected national political realignments, significant candidate health or scandal developments before November, or unusually high turnout swings in a low-visibility midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$15,059结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Josh Harder’s strong performance in the June 2, 2026 primary, where he secured roughly 60 percent of the vote and advanced easily alongside a Republican challenger, reinforces the district’s established partisan lean. The California 9th remains a solidly Democratic seat with a partisan voting index favoring the party by approximately eight points, built on consistent voter registration advantages and overlap with prior boundaries. Trader consensus reflects this structural edge and the absence of competitive Republican momentum or notable primary upsets. Low-probability shifts could arise from unexpected national political realignments, significant candidate health or scandal developments before November, or unusually high turnout swings in a low-visibility midterm cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,059结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Rep. Josh Harder’s strong performance in the June 2, 2026 primary, where he secured roughly 60 percent of the vote and advanced easily alongside a Republican challenger, reinforces the district’s established partisan lean. The California 9th remains a solidly Democratic seat with a partisan voting index favoring the party by approximately eight points, built on consistent voter registration advantages and overlap with prior boundaries. Trader consensus reflects this structural edge and the absence of competitive Republican momentum or notable primary upsets. Low-probability shifts could arise from unexpected national political realignments, significant candidate health or scandal developments before November, or unusually high turnout swings in a low-visibility midterm cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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