Republican incumbent Guy Reschenthaler holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 14th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Reschenthaler, who advanced unopposed through the May primary, has raised over $3.4 million compared with roughly $130,000 for Democratic nominee Alan Bradstock, a retired FBI agent and veteran. The district’s partisan composition, combined with the incumbent’s established fundraising and institutional support, has produced the current trader consensus reflected in prediction market pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include major national political shifts, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or late-breaking controversies capable of altering turnout or voter sentiment before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,166 交易量
$13,166 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$13,166 交易量
$13,166 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$3,577 交易量
94%
民主党
$9,589 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Guy Reschenthaler holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 14th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Reschenthaler, who advanced unopposed through the May primary, has raised over $3.4 million compared with roughly $130,000 for Democratic nominee Alan Bradstock, a retired FBI agent and veteran. The district’s partisan composition, combined with the incumbent’s established fundraising and institutional support, has produced the current trader consensus reflected in prediction market pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include major national political shifts, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or late-breaking controversies capable of altering turnout or voter sentiment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$13,166结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Guy Reschenthaler holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 14th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Reschenthaler, who advanced unopposed through the May primary, has raised over $3.4 million compared with roughly $130,000 for Democratic nominee Alan Bradstock, a retired FBI agent and veteran. The district’s partisan composition, combined with the incumbent’s established fundraising and institutional support, has produced the current trader consensus reflected in prediction market pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include major national political shifts, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or late-breaking controversies capable of altering turnout or voter sentiment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,166结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Guy Reschenthaler holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 14th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. Reschenthaler, who advanced unopposed through the May primary, has raised over $3.4 million compared with roughly $130,000 for Democratic nominee Alan Bradstock, a retired FBI agent and veteran. The district’s partisan composition, combined with the incumbent’s established fundraising and institutional support, has produced the current trader consensus reflected in prediction market pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited but include major national political shifts, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or late-breaking controversies capable of altering turnout or voter sentiment before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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