Incumbent Republican Glenn Thompson faces Democrat Ray Bilger in Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Thompson, first elected in 2008 and the dean of the state's delegation, won his party's primary unopposed while Bilger secured the Democratic nomination. The seat carries a strong Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Primary results and the absence of competitive challengers or notable controversies have reinforced trader consensus around a Republican hold. A major scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic shift could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such reversals unlikely without substantial new catalysts before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于PA-15 House Election Winner
PA-15 House Election Winner
$17,871 交易量
$17,871 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$17,871 交易量
$17,871 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$8,798 交易量
94%
Democratic Party
$9,073 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Thompson faces Democrat Ray Bilger in Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Thompson, first elected in 2008 and the dean of the state's delegation, won his party's primary unopposed while Bilger secured the Democratic nomination. The seat carries a strong Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Primary results and the absence of competitive challengers or notable controversies have reinforced trader consensus around a Republican hold. A major scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic shift could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such reversals unlikely without substantial new catalysts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$17,871结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Thompson faces Democrat Ray Bilger in Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Thompson, first elected in 2008 and the dean of the state's delegation, won his party's primary unopposed while Bilger secured the Democratic nomination. The seat carries a strong Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Primary results and the absence of competitive challengers or notable controversies have reinforced trader consensus around a Republican hold. A major scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic shift could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such reversals unlikely without substantial new catalysts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,871结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Glenn Thompson faces Democrat Ray Bilger in Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Thompson, first elected in 2008 and the dean of the state's delegation, won his party's primary unopposed while Bilger secured the Democratic nomination. The seat carries a strong Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Primary results and the absence of competitive challengers or notable controversies have reinforced trader consensus around a Republican hold. A major scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic shift could narrow the margin, though structural and historical factors make such reversals unlikely without substantial new catalysts before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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