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icon for 下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?

下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?

icon for 下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?

下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?

西利尔斯·布林克 62%

纳西皮·莫亚 19%

Phumeza Mangcu 9.4%

Patience Moropa 5.8%

Polymarket

$23,313 交易量

西利尔斯·布林克 62%

纳西皮·莫亚 19%

Phumeza Mangcu 9.4%

Patience Moropa 5.8%

Polymarket

$23,313 交易量

icon for 西利尔斯·布林克

西利尔斯·布林克

$15,798 交易量

62%

icon for 纳西皮·莫亚

纳西皮·莫亚

$4,673 交易量

19%

icon for Phumeza Mangcu

Phumeza Mangcu

$98 交易量

9%

icon for Patience Moropa

Patience Moropa

$348 交易量

6%

icon for 亚伦·马卢莱卡

亚伦·马卢莱卡

$381 交易量

6%

icon for Tlangi Mogale

Tlangi Mogale

$814 交易量

4%

icon for 查娜·皮拉内-马贾克

查娜·皮拉内-马贾克

$99 交易量

3%

icon for Kgoši Maepa

Kgoši Maepa

$159 交易量

2%

icon for Omphile Maotwe

Omphile Maotwe

$942 交易量

<1%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilliers Brink, the Democratic Alliance’s mayoral candidate and former Tshwane mayor, leads the market at 62% amid polling showing the DA ahead of other parties ahead of the November 4 local government elections. Recent DA actions, including opening criminal cases over alleged ANC-linked job gatekeeping and highlighting service delivery shortfalls such as idle fire trucks and water losses, have kept focus on governance contrasts with the current multi-party coalition under incumbent Nasiphi Moya of ActionSA. Brink’s platform emphasizes anti-corruption measures, private-sector partnerships for infrastructure, and restoring majority control, aligning with surveys placing the DA well ahead of the ANC and smaller parties. Other named contenders, primarily from ANC and EFF lists, trail as coalition negotiations and voter fragmentation remain key variables in a contest where no party is assured of an outright majority.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$23,313
结束日期
2026-11-18
市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilliers Brink, the Democratic Alliance’s mayoral candidate and former Tshwane mayor, leads the market at 62% amid polling showing the DA ahead of other parties ahead of the November 4 local government elections. Recent DA actions, including opening criminal cases over alleged ANC-linked job gatekeeping and highlighting service delivery shortfalls such as idle fire trucks and water losses, have kept focus on governance contrasts with the current multi-party coalition under incumbent Nasiphi Moya of ActionSA. Brink’s platform emphasizes anti-corruption measures, private-sector partnerships for infrastructure, and restoring majority control, aligning with surveys placing the DA well ahead of the ANC and smaller parties. Other named contenders, primarily from ANC and EFF lists, trail as coalition negotiations and voter fragmentation remain key variables in a contest where no party is assured of an outright majority.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Tshwane’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Tshwane following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Tshwane City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$23,313
结束日期
2026-11-18
市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

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常见问题

"下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"西利尔斯·布林克",概率为 62%,其次是"纳西皮·莫亚",概率为 19%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 62¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 62%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?"已产生 $23.3K 的总交易量(自Aug 18, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?"的当前领先者是"西利尔斯·布林克",概率为 62%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 62%。紧随其后的结果是"纳西皮·莫亚",概率为 19%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"下一任茨瓦内市长(比勒陀利亚) ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。