New York’s 15th congressional district, anchored in the West Bronx, maintains a pronounced Democratic partisan lean that underpins trader consensus around a party victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in the June primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote against limited challengers, reinforcing his established position in a seat he has held since 2021. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though the underlying voter composition and fundraising disparities make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$46,179 交易量
$46,179 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
97%
共和党
2%
$46,179 交易量
$46,179 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$26,973 交易量
97%
共和党
$19,206 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 15th congressional district, anchored in the West Bronx, maintains a pronounced Democratic partisan lean that underpins trader consensus around a party victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in the June primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote against limited challengers, reinforcing his established position in a seat he has held since 2021. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though the underlying voter composition and fundraising disparities make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$46,179结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 15th congressional district, anchored in the West Bronx, maintains a pronounced Democratic partisan lean that underpins trader consensus around a party victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in the June primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote against limited challengers, reinforcing his established position in a seat he has held since 2021. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though the underlying voter composition and fundraising disparities make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$46,179结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 15th congressional district, anchored in the West Bronx, maintains a pronounced Democratic partisan lean that underpins trader consensus around a party victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination in the June primary with roughly 72 percent of the vote against limited challengers, reinforcing his established position in a seat he has held since 2021. The Republican nominee, Stylo Sapaskis, faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though the underlying voter composition and fundraising disparities make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题