Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in the NY-16 House race, reflecting the district's strong Democratic lean across southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx, where he secured over 71 percent in the 2024 general election. With the Democratic primary canceled after no serious challengers emerged and the Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani facing limited visibility, trader consensus prices the seat as safely Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area's partisan voting index. A major shift in national conditions, an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or a significant late scandal could still alter the trajectory, though such developments remain low-probability given current structural advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$41,098 交易量
$41,098 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
2%
$41,098 交易量
$41,098 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$30,658 交易量
96%
共和党
$10,440 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in the NY-16 House race, reflecting the district's strong Democratic lean across southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx, where he secured over 71 percent in the 2024 general election. With the Democratic primary canceled after no serious challengers emerged and the Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani facing limited visibility, trader consensus prices the seat as safely Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area's partisan voting index. A major shift in national conditions, an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or a significant late scandal could still alter the trajectory, though such developments remain low-probability given current structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$41,098结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in the NY-16 House race, reflecting the district's strong Democratic lean across southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx, where he secured over 71 percent in the 2024 general election. With the Democratic primary canceled after no serious challengers emerged and the Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani facing limited visibility, trader consensus prices the seat as safely Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area's partisan voting index. A major shift in national conditions, an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or a significant late scandal could still alter the trajectory, though such developments remain low-probability given current structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,098结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in the NY-16 House race, reflecting the district's strong Democratic lean across southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx, where he secured over 71 percent in the 2024 general election. With the Democratic primary canceled after no serious challengers emerged and the Republican nominee Joseph Cinquemani facing limited visibility, trader consensus prices the seat as safely Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area's partisan voting index. A major shift in national conditions, an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or a significant late scandal could still alter the trajectory, though such developments remain low-probability given current structural advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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