Veronica Escobar's incumbency and the Texas 16th District's consistent Democratic lean anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for her reelection. The El Paso-based seat delivered her 59.5% in 2024 amid strong Hispanic voter support, and nonpartisan forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Adam Bauman secured the Republican nomination after a May runoff victory but faces limited fundraising visibility and no competitive polling shifts. Market pricing reflects the structural barriers for Republicans in this district, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,430 交易量
$19,430 交易量
2026-11-02
维罗妮卡·埃斯科巴（民主党）
95%
亚当·鲍曼（共和党）
6%
$19,430 交易量
$19,430 交易量
2026-11-02
维罗妮卡·埃斯科巴（民主党）
$12,998 交易量
95%
亚当·鲍曼（共和党）
$6,433 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Veronica Escobar's incumbency and the Texas 16th District's consistent Democratic lean anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for her reelection. The El Paso-based seat delivered her 59.5% in 2024 amid strong Hispanic voter support, and nonpartisan forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Adam Bauman secured the Republican nomination after a May runoff victory but faces limited fundraising visibility and no competitive polling shifts. Market pricing reflects the structural barriers for Republicans in this district, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$19,430结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Veronica Escobar's incumbency and the Texas 16th District's consistent Democratic lean anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for her reelection. The El Paso-based seat delivered her 59.5% in 2024 amid strong Hispanic voter support, and nonpartisan forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Adam Bauman secured the Republican nomination after a May runoff victory but faces limited fundraising visibility and no competitive polling shifts. Market pricing reflects the structural barriers for Republicans in this district, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,430结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETVeronica Escobar's incumbency and the Texas 16th District's consistent Democratic lean anchor trader consensus at 94.5% for her reelection. The El Paso-based seat delivered her 59.5% in 2024 amid strong Hispanic voter support, and nonpartisan forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Adam Bauman secured the Republican nomination after a May runoff victory but faces limited fundraising visibility and no competitive polling shifts. Market pricing reflects the structural barriers for Republicans in this district, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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