Democratic incumbent Veronica Escobar faces Republican nominee Adam Bauman in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 16th congressional district. The seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and D+11 partisan voting index, underpins the market’s 94.5% consensus for the Democratic Party. Escobar secured her primary unopposed with over 54,000 votes, while Bauman advanced through the Republican primary and May runoff. Historical results, including Escobar’s 59.5% share in 2024 and the district’s consistent Democratic performance in presidential and Senate races, reinforce trader assessments of limited competitiveness. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or unexpected national political realignments before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,245 交易量
$12,245 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$12,245 交易量
$12,245 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,225 交易量
95%
共和党
$6,021 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Veronica Escobar faces Republican nominee Adam Bauman in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 16th congressional district. The seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and D+11 partisan voting index, underpins the market’s 94.5% consensus for the Democratic Party. Escobar secured her primary unopposed with over 54,000 votes, while Bauman advanced through the Republican primary and May runoff. Historical results, including Escobar’s 59.5% share in 2024 and the district’s consistent Democratic performance in presidential and Senate races, reinforce trader assessments of limited competitiveness. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or unexpected national political realignments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$12,245结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Veronica Escobar faces Republican nominee Adam Bauman in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 16th congressional district. The seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and D+11 partisan voting index, underpins the market’s 94.5% consensus for the Democratic Party. Escobar secured her primary unopposed with over 54,000 votes, while Bauman advanced through the Republican primary and May runoff. Historical results, including Escobar’s 59.5% share in 2024 and the district’s consistent Democratic performance in presidential and Senate races, reinforce trader assessments of limited competitiveness. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or unexpected national political realignments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,245结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Veronica Escobar faces Republican nominee Adam Bauman in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 16th congressional district. The seat’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and D+11 partisan voting index, underpins the market’s 94.5% consensus for the Democratic Party. Escobar secured her primary unopposed with over 54,000 votes, while Bauman advanced through the Republican primary and May runoff. Historical results, including Escobar’s 59.5% share in 2024 and the district’s consistent Democratic performance in presidential and Senate races, reinforce trader assessments of limited competitiveness. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or unexpected national political realignments before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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