Maryland’s 6th congressional district, anchored in western Maryland counties with suburban extensions into Montgomery County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 that has produced consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative April McClain Delaney, first elected in 2024, benefits from name recognition and early polling leads in the June 23 Democratic primary against challenger David Trone and others. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan composition and modest historical swing potential. Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have held the seat since 2012. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Democratic nominee therefore tracks the district’s electoral fundamentals, though an unusually large national midterm shift or late primary upset could narrow the gap before November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,233 交易量
$15,233 交易量
民主党
91%
共和党
8%
$15,233 交易量
$15,233 交易量
民主党
91%
共和党
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 6th congressional district, anchored in western Maryland counties with suburban extensions into Montgomery County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 that has produced consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative April McClain Delaney, first elected in 2024, benefits from name recognition and early polling leads in the June 23 Democratic primary against challenger David Trone and others. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s underlying partisan composition and modest historical swing potential. Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds in a district where Democrats have held the seat since 2012. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Democratic nominee therefore tracks the district’s electoral fundamentals, though an unusually large national midterm shift or late primary upset could narrow the gap before November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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