Maryland’s 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in presidential voting and a structural edge that has produced solid or safe ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Representative April McClain Delaney benefits from this baseline plus established name recognition after her 2024 victory, while Republican candidates have historically trailed by wide margins in the district’s mix of suburban and rural areas. A competitive Democratic primary on June 23 introduces internal dynamics between McClain Delaney and challenger David Trone, yet the general-election outcome remains anchored by the district’s partisan composition. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue affecting the nominee, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully shift the current trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,177 交易量
$15,177 交易量
民主党
91%
共和党
8%
$15,177 交易量
$15,177 交易量
民主党
91%
共和党
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in presidential voting and a structural edge that has produced solid or safe ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Representative April McClain Delaney benefits from this baseline plus established name recognition after her 2024 victory, while Republican candidates have historically trailed by wide margins in the district’s mix of suburban and rural areas. A competitive Democratic primary on June 23 introduces internal dynamics between McClain Delaney and challenger David Trone, yet the general-election outcome remains anchored by the district’s partisan composition. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue affecting the nominee, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully shift the current trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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