Democratic incumbent Johnny Olszewski holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district, a suburban Baltimore County seat with a D+10 Partisan Voter Index. Olszewski won the open seat in 2024 with 58% and faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the district’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The 5.5% Republican share aligns with historical margins in this safely blue territory. A serious scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican nominee emerging from the June primary, or a dramatic national political shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,647 交易量
$10,647 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$10,647 交易量
$10,647 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,466 交易量
95%
共和党
$2,181 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Johnny Olszewski holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district, a suburban Baltimore County seat with a D+10 Partisan Voter Index. Olszewski won the open seat in 2024 with 58% and faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the district’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The 5.5% Republican share aligns with historical margins in this safely blue territory. A serious scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican nominee emerging from the June primary, or a dramatic national political shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$10,647结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Johnny Olszewski holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district, a suburban Baltimore County seat with a D+10 Partisan Voter Index. Olszewski won the open seat in 2024 with 58% and faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the district’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The 5.5% Republican share aligns with historical margins in this safely blue territory. A serious scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican nominee emerging from the June primary, or a dramatic national political shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,647结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Johnny Olszewski holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district, a suburban Baltimore County seat with a D+10 Partisan Voter Index. Olszewski won the open seat in 2024 with 58% and faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the district’s consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The 5.5% Republican share aligns with historical margins in this safely blue territory. A serious scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican nominee emerging from the June primary, or a dramatic national political shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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