Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in Kamala Harris's 9.5-point margin there in 2024 and repeated Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Dave Wallace, a perennial candidate with limited prior success in the district. Olszewski's background as a former Baltimore County executive and state delegate provides name recognition and fundraising advantages typical of incumbents in safely partisan seats. Trader consensus around 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes could shift in the event of late-cycle scandals, health issues, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that narrows historical margins in the district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,577 交易量
$12,577 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$12,577 交易量
$12,577 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$10,057 交易量
95%
共和党
$2,520 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in Kamala Harris's 9.5-point margin there in 2024 and repeated Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Dave Wallace, a perennial candidate with limited prior success in the district. Olszewski's background as a former Baltimore County executive and state delegate provides name recognition and fundraising advantages typical of incumbents in safely partisan seats. Trader consensus around 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes could shift in the event of late-cycle scandals, health issues, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that narrows historical margins in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$12,577结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in Kamala Harris's 9.5-point margin there in 2024 and repeated Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Dave Wallace, a perennial candidate with limited prior success in the district. Olszewski's background as a former Baltimore County executive and state delegate provides name recognition and fundraising advantages typical of incumbents in safely partisan seats. Trader consensus around 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes could shift in the event of late-cycle scandals, health issues, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that narrows historical margins in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,577结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in Kamala Harris's 9.5-point margin there in 2024 and repeated Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Dave Wallace, a perennial candidate with limited prior success in the district. Olszewski's background as a former Baltimore County executive and state delegate provides name recognition and fundraising advantages typical of incumbents in safely partisan seats. Trader consensus around 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes could shift in the event of late-cycle scandals, health issues, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that narrows historical margins in the district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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