Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the nomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd congressional district, advancing against Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling eastern and southern Oregon district has consistently favored Republican candidates, reflected in Bentz's prior victories and the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating. Traders price in this structural advantage along with Bentz's established fundraising and name recognition. A national Democratic surge, significant candidate-specific issues, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin, though the district's voting patterns set a high bar for such changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党
92%
民主党
8%
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the nomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd congressional district, advancing against Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling eastern and southern Oregon district has consistently favored Republican candidates, reflected in Bentz's prior victories and the Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating. Traders price in this structural advantage along with Bentz's established fundraising and name recognition. A national Democratic surge, significant candidate-specific issues, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the margin, though the district's voting patterns set a high bar for such changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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