Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling eastern and southern Oregon seat has favored Republicans since 1981 and features a clear registration edge for the party, which Bentz leveraged to win 64 percent in 2024. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent Republican reflects this structural advantage and limited recent shifts in voter data or campaign dynamics. A credible challenge would require an unusually large swing in turnout among independents or a significant late-cycle development such as a major scandal or national political realignment that alters baseline partisan patterns in the district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,366 交易量
92%
民主党
$2,784 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling eastern and southern Oregon seat has favored Republicans since 1981 and features a clear registration edge for the party, which Bentz leveraged to win 64 percent in 2024. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent Republican reflects this structural advantage and limited recent shifts in voter data or campaign dynamics. A credible challenge would require an unusually large swing in turnout among independents or a significant late-cycle development such as a major scandal or national political realignment that alters baseline partisan patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$5,150结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling eastern and southern Oregon seat has favored Republicans since 1981 and features a clear registration edge for the party, which Bentz leveraged to win 64 percent in 2024. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent Republican reflects this structural advantage and limited recent shifts in voter data or campaign dynamics. A credible challenge would require an unusually large swing in turnout among independents or a significant late-cycle development such as a major scandal or national political realignment that alters baseline partisan patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,150结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling eastern and southern Oregon seat has favored Republicans since 1981 and features a clear registration edge for the party, which Bentz leveraged to win 64 percent in 2024. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent Republican reflects this structural advantage and limited recent shifts in voter data or campaign dynamics. A credible challenge would require an unusually large swing in turnout among independents or a significant late-cycle development such as a major scandal or national political realignment that alters baseline partisan patterns in the district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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