Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District. The sprawling eastern and southern Oregon seat has favored Republicans for decades, with Bentz winning 64 percent in 2024 amid a voter registration edge and consistent support in rural areas. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects this structural advantage and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the outlook. A significant late-cycle national shift, unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though such scenarios remain low-probability given historical patterns in this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,376 交易量
94%
民主党
$4,573 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District. The sprawling eastern and southern Oregon seat has favored Republicans for decades, with Bentz winning 64 percent in 2024 amid a voter registration edge and consistent support in rural areas. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects this structural advantage and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the outlook. A significant late-cycle national shift, unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though such scenarios remain low-probability given historical patterns in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$7,949结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District. The sprawling eastern and southern Oregon seat has favored Republicans for decades, with Bentz winning 64 percent in 2024 amid a voter registration edge and consistent support in rural areas. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects this structural advantage and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the outlook. A significant late-cycle national shift, unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though such scenarios remain low-probability given historical patterns in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,949结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote and faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District. The sprawling eastern and southern Oregon seat has favored Republicans for decades, with Bentz winning 64 percent in 2024 amid a voter registration edge and consistent support in rural areas. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects this structural advantage and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the outlook. A significant late-cycle national shift, unforeseen scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though such scenarios remain low-probability given historical patterns in this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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