Oregon's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and the incumbent's consistent performance. Cliff Bentz secured renomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Chris Beck advanced from a crowded field to face him in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican, consistent with Bentz's 2024 margin above 20 points. The district's rural eastern and southern Oregon electorate has delivered reliable GOP majorities in recent cycles. A significant national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among crossover voters could narrow the gap, though structural factors and fundraising advantages make such shifts unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,363 交易量
92%
民主党
$2,784 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and the incumbent's consistent performance. Cliff Bentz secured renomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Chris Beck advanced from a crowded field to face him in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican, consistent with Bentz's 2024 margin above 20 points. The district's rural eastern and southern Oregon electorate has delivered reliable GOP majorities in recent cycles. A significant national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among crossover voters could narrow the gap, though structural factors and fundraising advantages make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$5,147结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and the incumbent's consistent performance. Cliff Bentz secured renomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Chris Beck advanced from a crowded field to face him in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican, consistent with Bentz's 2024 margin above 20 points. The district's rural eastern and southern Oregon electorate has delivered reliable GOP majorities in recent cycles. A significant national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among crossover voters could narrow the gap, though structural factors and fundraising advantages make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,147结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+14 partisan voter index and the incumbent's consistent performance. Cliff Bentz secured renomination with nearly 80% in the May 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Chris Beck advanced from a crowded field to face him in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican, consistent with Bentz's 2024 margin above 20 points. The district's rural eastern and southern Oregon electorate has delivered reliable GOP majorities in recent cycles. A significant national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among crossover voters could narrow the gap, though structural factors and fundraising advantages make such shifts unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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