Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and delivered Republican John Moolenaar a 65 percent victory in 2024. Moolenaar, the incumbent since 2015 and a senior appropriator, faces only token opposition in the Republican primary while Democrats field three lesser-known candidates ahead of the August 4 primary. Nonpartisan raters from Cook Political Report through Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. These structural factors—partisan composition, incumbency, and weak opposition—underpin the market’s 94.5 percent Republican consensus. A late scandal, health event, or dramatic national swing could theoretically compress the margin, yet no such developments have surfaced in the current cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$45,972 交易量
$45,972 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$45,972 交易量
$45,972 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$21,645 交易量
95%
民主党
$24,326 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and delivered Republican John Moolenaar a 65 percent victory in 2024. Moolenaar, the incumbent since 2015 and a senior appropriator, faces only token opposition in the Republican primary while Democrats field three lesser-known candidates ahead of the August 4 primary. Nonpartisan raters from Cook Political Report through Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. These structural factors—partisan composition, incumbency, and weak opposition—underpin the market’s 94.5 percent Republican consensus. A late scandal, health event, or dramatic national swing could theoretically compress the margin, yet no such developments have surfaced in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$45,972结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and delivered Republican John Moolenaar a 65 percent victory in 2024. Moolenaar, the incumbent since 2015 and a senior appropriator, faces only token opposition in the Republican primary while Democrats field three lesser-known candidates ahead of the August 4 primary. Nonpartisan raters from Cook Political Report through Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. These structural factors—partisan composition, incumbency, and weak opposition—underpin the market’s 94.5 percent Republican consensus. A late scandal, health event, or dramatic national swing could theoretically compress the margin, yet no such developments have surfaced in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,972结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and delivered Republican John Moolenaar a 65 percent victory in 2024. Moolenaar, the incumbent since 2015 and a senior appropriator, faces only token opposition in the Republican primary while Democrats field three lesser-known candidates ahead of the August 4 primary. Nonpartisan raters from Cook Political Report through Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. These structural factors—partisan composition, incumbency, and weak opposition—underpin the market’s 94.5 percent Republican consensus. A late scandal, health event, or dramatic national swing could theoretically compress the margin, yet no such developments have surfaced in the current cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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