Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a solidly Republican area encompassing central Michigan and parts of the Grand Rapids metro region. Moolenaar advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary after winning reelection with 65 percent in 2024, while Democrat Benjamin Ambrose narrowly secured his party’s nomination. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic fundraising and name recognition, and absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment or candidate controversies. Trader consensus at 98 percent for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national political realignment could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited realistic pathways for change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$53,874 交易量
$53,874 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
98%
民主党
1%
$53,874 交易量
$53,874 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$22,752 交易量
98%
民主党
$31,122 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a solidly Republican area encompassing central Michigan and parts of the Grand Rapids metro region. Moolenaar advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary after winning reelection with 65 percent in 2024, while Democrat Benjamin Ambrose narrowly secured his party’s nomination. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic fundraising and name recognition, and absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment or candidate controversies. Trader consensus at 98 percent for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national political realignment could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited realistic pathways for change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$53,874结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a solidly Republican area encompassing central Michigan and parts of the Grand Rapids metro region. Moolenaar advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary after winning reelection with 65 percent in 2024, while Democrat Benjamin Ambrose narrowly secured his party’s nomination. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic fundraising and name recognition, and absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment or candidate controversies. Trader consensus at 98 percent for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national political realignment could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited realistic pathways for change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$53,874结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a solidly Republican area encompassing central Michigan and parts of the Grand Rapids metro region. Moolenaar advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary after winning reelection with 65 percent in 2024, while Democrat Benjamin Ambrose narrowly secured his party’s nomination. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic fundraising and name recognition, and absence of major recent shifts in voter sentiment or candidate controversies. Trader consensus at 98 percent for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national political realignment could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited realistic pathways for change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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