Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar’s established position in Michigan’s 2nd district, which includes central Michigan and portions of the Grand Rapids area, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Moolenaar won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin, and the seat has shown consistent Republican strength in recent cycles with no competitive polling shifts reported for 2026. Democratic primary contenders remain early-stage ahead of the August 4 contest, while the general election timeline in November leaves limited room for major reversals. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national Democratic wave, a significant scandal affecting the Republican candidate, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the district’s more competitive pockets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$45,972 交易量
$45,972 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$45,972 交易量
$45,972 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$21,645 交易量
95%
民主党
$24,326 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar’s established position in Michigan’s 2nd district, which includes central Michigan and portions of the Grand Rapids area, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Moolenaar won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin, and the seat has shown consistent Republican strength in recent cycles with no competitive polling shifts reported for 2026. Democratic primary contenders remain early-stage ahead of the August 4 contest, while the general election timeline in November leaves limited room for major reversals. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national Democratic wave, a significant scandal affecting the Republican candidate, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the district’s more competitive pockets.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$45,972结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar’s established position in Michigan’s 2nd district, which includes central Michigan and portions of the Grand Rapids area, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Moolenaar won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin, and the seat has shown consistent Republican strength in recent cycles with no competitive polling shifts reported for 2026. Democratic primary contenders remain early-stage ahead of the August 4 contest, while the general election timeline in November leaves limited room for major reversals. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national Democratic wave, a significant scandal affecting the Republican candidate, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the district’s more competitive pockets.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,972结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar’s established position in Michigan’s 2nd district, which includes central Michigan and portions of the Grand Rapids area, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Moolenaar won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin, and the seat has shown consistent Republican strength in recent cycles with no competitive polling shifts reported for 2026. Democratic primary contenders remain early-stage ahead of the August 4 contest, while the general election timeline in November leaves limited room for major reversals. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national Democratic wave, a significant scandal affecting the Republican candidate, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the district’s more competitive pockets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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