Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 5, 2026 primary and faces Republican Eric Conroy, who won the GOP primary with an endorsement from President Trump. The Cincinnati-area district, redrawn after the prior cycle to incorporate more rural southwest Ohio counties, now leans narrowly Republican based on 2024 presidential voting patterns. Landsman prevailed in 2024 with 54.6 percent despite the shifting map, and his substantial fundraising edge plus established name recognition in the Cincinnati metro area have anchored trader views of Democratic retention odds. The general election on November 3 remains months away, leaving room for shifts tied to national midterm dynamics or candidate-specific developments in this competitive seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党
76%
共和党
22%
民主党
76%
共和党
22%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 5, 2026 primary and faces Republican Eric Conroy, who won the GOP primary with an endorsement from President Trump. The Cincinnati-area district, redrawn after the prior cycle to incorporate more rural southwest Ohio counties, now leans narrowly Republican based on 2024 presidential voting patterns. Landsman prevailed in 2024 with 54.6 percent despite the shifting map, and his substantial fundraising edge plus established name recognition in the Cincinnati metro area have anchored trader views of Democratic retention odds. The general election on November 3 remains months away, leaving room for shifts tied to national midterm dynamics or candidate-specific developments in this competitive seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题