Redistricting shifted Texas's 35th Congressional District toward Republicans, with the new lines reflecting a Trump margin near 10 points from 2024. Nominees Johnny Garcia for Democrats and Carlos De La Cruz for Republicans emerged from May runoffs after competitive primaries. A late-August poll showed De La Cruz at 45% and Garcia at 44% with 11% undecided, underscoring a tight general election contest ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus reflects this competitiveness and midterm dynamics, assigning the Democratic Party a modest lead in implied probability while acknowledging structural factors and the narrow polling gap that could shift with turnout or late developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,583 交易量
$13,583 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
56%
共和党
45%
$13,583 交易量
$13,583 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,875 交易量
56%
共和党
$6,708 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting shifted Texas's 35th Congressional District toward Republicans, with the new lines reflecting a Trump margin near 10 points from 2024. Nominees Johnny Garcia for Democrats and Carlos De La Cruz for Republicans emerged from May runoffs after competitive primaries. A late-August poll showed De La Cruz at 45% and Garcia at 44% with 11% undecided, underscoring a tight general election contest ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus reflects this competitiveness and midterm dynamics, assigning the Democratic Party a modest lead in implied probability while acknowledging structural factors and the narrow polling gap that could shift with turnout or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$13,583结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting shifted Texas's 35th Congressional District toward Republicans, with the new lines reflecting a Trump margin near 10 points from 2024. Nominees Johnny Garcia for Democrats and Carlos De La Cruz for Republicans emerged from May runoffs after competitive primaries. A late-August poll showed De La Cruz at 45% and Garcia at 44% with 11% undecided, underscoring a tight general election contest ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus reflects this competitiveness and midterm dynamics, assigning the Democratic Party a modest lead in implied probability while acknowledging structural factors and the narrow polling gap that could shift with turnout or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,583结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRedistricting shifted Texas's 35th Congressional District toward Republicans, with the new lines reflecting a Trump margin near 10 points from 2024. Nominees Johnny Garcia for Democrats and Carlos De La Cruz for Republicans emerged from May runoffs after competitive primaries. A late-August poll showed De La Cruz at 45% and Garcia at 44% with 11% undecided, underscoring a tight general election contest ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus reflects this competitiveness and midterm dynamics, assigning the Democratic Party a modest lead in implied probability while acknowledging structural factors and the narrow polling gap that could shift with turnout or late developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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