**Republican nominee Rick Brattin holds a strong position in Missouri’s 5th Congressional District following the August 4, 2026 Republican primary and recent redistricting.** The district, long held by Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver, was redrawn by the Republican-controlled legislature in 2025 to incorporate more rural and conservative areas outside Kansas City, shifting its partisan lean sharply rightward. President Trump’s endorsement helped Brattin secure the GOP nomination with 45% of the vote against a crowded field, positioning him for the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting the new map’s Trump-plus double-digit performance in 2024 and the absence of major Democratic challengers. Legal challenges to the boundaries and a failed ballot initiative have not altered the current lines for 2026. Trader consensus in the Polymarket reflects these structural and candidate-driven factors, with limited recent developments capable of closing the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,750 交易量
$10,750 交易量
2026-11-04
共和党
84%
民主党
16%
$10,750 交易量
$10,750 交易量
2026-11-04
共和党
$8,060 交易量
84%
民主党
$2,690 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Rick Brattin holds a strong position in Missouri’s 5th Congressional District following the August 4, 2026 Republican primary and recent redistricting.** The district, long held by Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver, was redrawn by the Republican-controlled legislature in 2025 to incorporate more rural and conservative areas outside Kansas City, shifting its partisan lean sharply rightward. President Trump’s endorsement helped Brattin secure the GOP nomination with 45% of the vote against a crowded field, positioning him for the November 3 general election.
Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting the new map’s Trump-plus double-digit performance in 2024 and the absence of major Democratic challengers. Legal challenges to the boundaries and a failed ballot initiative have not altered the current lines for 2026. Trader consensus in the Polymarket reflects these structural and candidate-driven factors, with limited recent developments capable of closing the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$10,750结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Rick Brattin holds a strong position in Missouri’s 5th Congressional District following the August 4, 2026 Republican primary and recent redistricting.** The district, long held by Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver, was redrawn by the Republican-controlled legislature in 2025 to incorporate more rural and conservative areas outside Kansas City, shifting its partisan lean sharply rightward. President Trump’s endorsement helped Brattin secure the GOP nomination with 45% of the vote against a crowded field, positioning him for the November 3 general election.
Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting the new map’s Trump-plus double-digit performance in 2024 and the absence of major Democratic challengers. Legal challenges to the boundaries and a failed ballot initiative have not altered the current lines for 2026. Trader consensus in the Polymarket reflects these structural and candidate-driven factors, with limited recent developments capable of closing the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,750结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee Rick Brattin holds a strong position in Missouri’s 5th Congressional District following the August 4, 2026 Republican primary and recent redistricting.** The district, long held by Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver, was redrawn by the Republican-controlled legislature in 2025 to incorporate more rural and conservative areas outside Kansas City, shifting its partisan lean sharply rightward. President Trump’s endorsement helped Brattin secure the GOP nomination with 45% of the vote against a crowded field, positioning him for the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting the new map’s Trump-plus double-digit performance in 2024 and the absence of major Democratic challengers. Legal challenges to the boundaries and a failed ballot initiative have not altered the current lines for 2026. Trader consensus in the Polymarket reflects these structural and candidate-driven factors, with limited recent developments capable of closing the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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