Redistricting has shifted Missouri's 5th congressional district toward Republican-leaning territory ahead of the November 2026 general election, positioning GOP candidates as favorites in trader consensus. The Missouri Supreme Court upheld the new map in May 2026, adding suburban and rural areas that dilute the longtime Democratic stronghold around Kansas City. Longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver remains the presumptive Democratic nominee after the August primary, while six Republicans including state Sen. Rick Brattin and Taylor Burks have filed for their side's primary. Forecasters now rate the seat as a likely or safe Republican pickup. The August 4 primaries and any late developments in candidate fundraising or endorsements could still influence final positioning before voters decide.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
58%
民主党
28%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$1,756 交易量
58%
民主党
$1,174 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Missouri's 5th congressional district toward Republican-leaning territory ahead of the November 2026 general election, positioning GOP candidates as favorites in trader consensus. The Missouri Supreme Court upheld the new map in May 2026, adding suburban and rural areas that dilute the longtime Democratic stronghold around Kansas City. Longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver remains the presumptive Democratic nominee after the August primary, while six Republicans including state Sen. Rick Brattin and Taylor Burks have filed for their side's primary. Forecasters now rate the seat as a likely or safe Republican pickup. The August 4 primaries and any late developments in candidate fundraising or endorsements could still influence final positioning before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$2,930结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Missouri's 5th congressional district toward Republican-leaning territory ahead of the November 2026 general election, positioning GOP candidates as favorites in trader consensus. The Missouri Supreme Court upheld the new map in May 2026, adding suburban and rural areas that dilute the longtime Democratic stronghold around Kansas City. Longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver remains the presumptive Democratic nominee after the August primary, while six Republicans including state Sen. Rick Brattin and Taylor Burks have filed for their side's primary. Forecasters now rate the seat as a likely or safe Republican pickup. The August 4 primaries and any late developments in candidate fundraising or endorsements could still influence final positioning before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,930结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has shifted Missouri's 5th congressional district toward Republican-leaning territory ahead of the November 2026 general election, positioning GOP candidates as favorites in trader consensus. The Missouri Supreme Court upheld the new map in May 2026, adding suburban and rural areas that dilute the longtime Democratic stronghold around Kansas City. Longtime incumbent Emanuel Cleaver remains the presumptive Democratic nominee after the August primary, while six Republicans including state Sen. Rick Brattin and Taylor Burks have filed for their side's primary. Forecasters now rate the seat as a likely or safe Republican pickup. The August 4 primaries and any late developments in candidate fundraising or endorsements could still influence final positioning before voters decide.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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