Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a substantial edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s Republican tilt and her long record of reelection since 2013. Wagner secured her party’s nomination with roughly 74 percent in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Fred Wellman, a retired Army veteran and West Point graduate, prevailed in a close three-way Democratic contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing that places Wagner near 70 percent implied probability. Wellman’s campaign has emphasized his military service and local roots to narrow the gap, yet Wagner maintains a large cash-on-hand advantage and faces limited recent polling shifts that would alter the consensus outlook. The race remains focused on turnout in suburban St. Louis County and surrounding areas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,615 交易量
$12,615 交易量
2026-11-02
安·瓦格纳（共和党）
70%
弗雷德·韦尔曼（民主党）
33%
$12,615 交易量
$12,615 交易量
2026-11-02
安·瓦格纳（共和党）
$6,116 交易量
70%
弗雷德·韦尔曼（民主党）
$6,499 交易量
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a substantial edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s Republican tilt and her long record of reelection since 2013. Wagner secured her party’s nomination with roughly 74 percent in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Fred Wellman, a retired Army veteran and West Point graduate, prevailed in a close three-way Democratic contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing that places Wagner near 70 percent implied probability. Wellman’s campaign has emphasized his military service and local roots to narrow the gap, yet Wagner maintains a large cash-on-hand advantage and faces limited recent polling shifts that would alter the consensus outlook. The race remains focused on turnout in suburban St. Louis County and surrounding areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$12,615结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a substantial edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s Republican tilt and her long record of reelection since 2013. Wagner secured her party’s nomination with roughly 74 percent in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Fred Wellman, a retired Army veteran and West Point graduate, prevailed in a close three-way Democratic contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing that places Wagner near 70 percent implied probability. Wellman’s campaign has emphasized his military service and local roots to narrow the gap, yet Wagner maintains a large cash-on-hand advantage and faces limited recent polling shifts that would alter the consensus outlook. The race remains focused on turnout in suburban St. Louis County and surrounding areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,615结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Ann Wagner holds a substantial edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s Republican tilt and her long record of reelection since 2013. Wagner secured her party’s nomination with roughly 74 percent in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Fred Wellman, a retired Army veteran and West Point graduate, prevailed in a close three-way Democratic contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with trader pricing that places Wagner near 70 percent implied probability. Wellman’s campaign has emphasized his military service and local roots to narrow the gap, yet Wagner maintains a large cash-on-hand advantage and faces limited recent polling shifts that would alter the consensus outlook. The race remains focused on turnout in suburban St. Louis County and surrounding areas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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