The Republican incumbent holds a clear edge in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District due to the seat's R+6 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including a 54.5% victory in 2024. Multiple Republican primary challengers have emerged ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democrats have placed the district on their target list for the first time since 2020, citing suburban voter shifts and the incumbent's relatively low approval ratings in one early survey. Primaries conclude before the November 3 general election, with candidate fundraising and national party resources likely to influence positioning in this swing-leaning suburban seat anchored in St. Louis County and surrounding areas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
78%
民主党
23%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,148 交易量
78%
民主党
$2,238 交易量
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican incumbent holds a clear edge in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District due to the seat's R+6 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including a 54.5% victory in 2024. Multiple Republican primary challengers have emerged ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democrats have placed the district on their target list for the first time since 2020, citing suburban voter shifts and the incumbent's relatively low approval ratings in one early survey. Primaries conclude before the November 3 general election, with candidate fundraising and national party resources likely to influence positioning in this swing-leaning suburban seat anchored in St. Louis County and surrounding areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$5,386结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican incumbent holds a clear edge in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District due to the seat's R+6 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including a 54.5% victory in 2024. Multiple Republican primary challengers have emerged ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democrats have placed the district on their target list for the first time since 2020, citing suburban voter shifts and the incumbent's relatively low approval ratings in one early survey. Primaries conclude before the November 3 general election, with candidate fundraising and national party resources likely to influence positioning in this swing-leaning suburban seat anchored in St. Louis County and surrounding areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,386结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican incumbent holds a clear edge in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District due to the seat's R+6 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including a 54.5% victory in 2024. Multiple Republican primary challengers have emerged ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democrats have placed the district on their target list for the first time since 2020, citing suburban voter shifts and the incumbent's relatively low approval ratings in one early survey. Primaries conclude before the November 3 general election, with candidate fundraising and national party resources likely to influence positioning in this swing-leaning suburban seat anchored in St. Louis County and surrounding areas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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