Republican incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's established Republican tilt and her consistent past performance. The district's partisan voting index favors the GOP, and Wagner secured 54.5 percent in 2024 despite national trends favoring Democrats among college-educated suburban voters. National Democratic targeting through the DCCC has drawn some attention to the race, yet early indicators and trader consensus continue to price in a Republican hold. Multiple Republican primary challengers and a consolidated Democratic field have not shifted the underlying dynamics in recent months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
77%
民主党
22%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,148 交易量
77%
民主党
$2,238 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's established Republican tilt and her consistent past performance. The district's partisan voting index favors the GOP, and Wagner secured 54.5 percent in 2024 despite national trends favoring Democrats among college-educated suburban voters. National Democratic targeting through the DCCC has drawn some attention to the race, yet early indicators and trader consensus continue to price in a Republican hold. Multiple Republican primary challengers and a consolidated Democratic field have not shifted the underlying dynamics in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$5,386结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's established Republican tilt and her consistent past performance. The district's partisan voting index favors the GOP, and Wagner secured 54.5 percent in 2024 despite national trends favoring Democrats among college-educated suburban voters. National Democratic targeting through the DCCC has drawn some attention to the race, yet early indicators and trader consensus continue to price in a Republican hold. Multiple Republican primary challengers and a consolidated Democratic field have not shifted the underlying dynamics in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,386结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Ann Wagner holds a strong position in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's established Republican tilt and her consistent past performance. The district's partisan voting index favors the GOP, and Wagner secured 54.5 percent in 2024 despite national trends favoring Democrats among college-educated suburban voters. National Democratic targeting through the DCCC has drawn some attention to the race, yet early indicators and trader consensus continue to price in a Republican hold. Multiple Republican primary challengers and a consolidated Democratic field have not shifted the underlying dynamics in recent months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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