Missouri’s 1st congressional district encompasses St. Louis and surrounding areas with a partisan voting index of roughly D+29, producing consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Wesley Bell holds the seat after defeating former representative Cori Bush in the 2024 Democratic primary and faces a rematch plus other challengers in the August 4 primary ahead of the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s urban voter base and historical turnout patterns. No recent polling or events have altered the general-election outlook, leaving the Democratic nominee with overwhelming trader consensus. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in registration or turnout not observed in the past decade.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,823 交易量
$23,823 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$23,823 交易量
$23,823 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 1st congressional district encompasses St. Louis and surrounding areas with a partisan voting index of roughly D+29, producing consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Wesley Bell holds the seat after defeating former representative Cori Bush in the 2024 Democratic primary and faces a rematch plus other challengers in the August 4 primary ahead of the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s urban voter base and historical turnout patterns. No recent polling or events have altered the general-election outlook, leaving the Democratic nominee with overwhelming trader consensus. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in registration or turnout not observed in the past decade.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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