North Carolina's 7th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean driven by voter registration edges, historical election margins, and stable rural and suburban voting patterns. This underpins the Republican Party's dominant 81% implied probability for the 2026 House race. Recent primary results and candidate positioning have further consolidated support for the GOP nominee without notable Democratic breakthroughs. Fundraising gaps and limited shifts in key demographics continue to constrain the Democratic Party's position at 16%. National midterm dynamics and any late-cycle endorsements remain the main variables that could influence turnout or margins before November voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,522 交易量
$26,522 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
81%
民主党
16%
$26,522 交易量
$26,522 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$13,750 交易量
81%
民主党
$12,772 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 7th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean driven by voter registration edges, historical election margins, and stable rural and suburban voting patterns. This underpins the Republican Party's dominant 81% implied probability for the 2026 House race. Recent primary results and candidate positioning have further consolidated support for the GOP nominee without notable Democratic breakthroughs. Fundraising gaps and limited shifts in key demographics continue to constrain the Democratic Party's position at 16%. National midterm dynamics and any late-cycle endorsements remain the main variables that could influence turnout or margins before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$26,522结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 7th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean driven by voter registration edges, historical election margins, and stable rural and suburban voting patterns. This underpins the Republican Party's dominant 81% implied probability for the 2026 House race. Recent primary results and candidate positioning have further consolidated support for the GOP nominee without notable Democratic breakthroughs. Fundraising gaps and limited shifts in key demographics continue to constrain the Democratic Party's position at 16%. National midterm dynamics and any late-cycle endorsements remain the main variables that could influence turnout or margins before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,522结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 7th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean driven by voter registration edges, historical election margins, and stable rural and suburban voting patterns. This underpins the Republican Party's dominant 81% implied probability for the 2026 House race. Recent primary results and candidate positioning have further consolidated support for the GOP nominee without notable Democratic breakthroughs. Fundraising gaps and limited shifts in key demographics continue to constrain the Democratic Party's position at 16%. National midterm dynamics and any late-cycle endorsements remain the main variables that could influence turnout or margins before November voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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