Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election produced a narrow opposition victory, with the Social Democrats-led bloc of S, V, MP, and C projected to secure 175-176 seats in the 349-seat Riksdag against 173-174 for the incumbent Tidö parties (M, SD, KD, L). SVT’s election model, drawing on 99%+ of ballots including late advance and overseas votes, assessed the probability of any Tidö reversal at under 0.1% once supplementary counting narrowed the gap to roughly three seats. Pre-election polling had shown a consistent though tightening opposition lead driven by voter priorities on the economy, crime, and migration, while Sweden Democrats support declined from 2022 levels. Remaining administrative tallies could still adjust the exact margin by one or two seats, yet the structural result of an opposition plurality now appears locked in.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于反对党赢得3-4席 96.7%
反对党领先1–2席 1.5%
Tidö赢1-2席 <1%
反对党领先5-6席 <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
反对党赢得7个或以上
<1%
反对党领先5-6席
<1%
反对党赢得3-4席
97%
反对党领先1–2席
1%
Tidö赢1-2席
1%
Tidö 赢3-4席
<1%
Tidö多5席
<1%
反对党赢得3-4席 96.7%
反对党领先1–2席 1.5%
Tidö赢1-2席 <1%
反对党领先5-6席 <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
反对党赢得7个或以上
$710 交易量
<1%
反对党领先5-6席
$205 交易量
<1%
反对党赢得3-4席
$2,359 交易量
97%
反对党领先1–2席
$1,807 交易量
1%
Tidö赢1-2席
$838 交易量
1%
Tidö 赢3-4席
$426 交易量
<1%
Tidö多5席
$29 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election produced a narrow opposition victory, with the Social Democrats-led bloc of S, V, MP, and C projected to secure 175-176 seats in the 349-seat Riksdag against 173-174 for the incumbent Tidö parties (M, SD, KD, L). SVT’s election model, drawing on 99%+ of ballots including late advance and overseas votes, assessed the probability of any Tidö reversal at under 0.1% once supplementary counting narrowed the gap to roughly three seats. Pre-election polling had shown a consistent though tightening opposition lead driven by voter priorities on the economy, crime, and migration, while Sweden Democrats support declined from 2022 levels. Remaining administrative tallies could still adjust the exact margin by one or two seats, yet the structural result of an opposition plurality now appears locked in.
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:25 PM ET
交易量
$6,374结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:25 PM ETParliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election produced a narrow opposition victory, with the Social Democrats-led bloc of S, V, MP, and C projected to secure 175-176 seats in the 349-seat Riksdag against 173-174 for the incumbent Tidö parties (M, SD, KD, L). SVT’s election model, drawing on 99%+ of ballots including late advance and overseas votes, assessed the probability of any Tidö reversal at under 0.1% once supplementary counting narrowed the gap to roughly three seats. Pre-election polling had shown a consistent though tightening opposition lead driven by voter priorities on the economy, crime, and migration, while Sweden Democrats support declined from 2022 levels. Remaining administrative tallies could still adjust the exact margin by one or two seats, yet the structural result of an opposition plurality now appears locked in.
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$6,374结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:25 PM ETSweden’s September 13 parliamentary election produced a narrow opposition victory, with the Social Democrats-led bloc of S, V, MP, and C projected to secure 175-176 seats in the 349-seat Riksdag against 173-174 for the incumbent Tidö parties (M, SD, KD, L). SVT’s election model, drawing on 99%+ of ballots including late advance and overseas votes, assessed the probability of any Tidö reversal at under 0.1% once supplementary counting narrowed the gap to roughly three seats. Pre-election polling had shown a consistent though tightening opposition lead driven by voter priorities on the economy, crime, and migration, while Sweden Democrats support declined from 2022 levels. Remaining administrative tallies could still adjust the exact margin by one or two seats, yet the structural result of an opposition plurality now appears locked in.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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