Sweden’s September 13 election produced a narrow centre-left parliamentary edge of 176 seats to 173 for the outgoing Tidö bloc, triggering immediate coalition negotiations under negative parliamentarism. The Social Democrats’ leader Magdalena Andersson holds the initiative, yet Centre Party resistance to cabinet inclusion of the Left Party sharply distinguishes the leading S+MP+C option from broader S+MP+C+V or narrower S+MP variants. Right-leaning combinations remain sidelined by Sweden Democrats’ seat losses and bloc fragmentation. Final overseas vote tallies due mid-week and upcoming speaker procedures by late September will shape whether policy concessions or external support arrangements consolidate support around one configuration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于社民党 + 绿党 25%
社民党（S）+ 环保党（MP）+ 中央党（C） 22%
社民党+绿党+中间党+左翼党 14%
M + KD + L + SD 13%
最新
最新
2027-07-31
社民党 + 绿党
25%
社民党（S）+ 环保党（MP）+ 中央党（C）
32%
社民党+绿党+中间党+左翼党
14%
M + KD + L + SD
13%
M + KD + L + C
10%
社民党+环境党+左翼党
10%
社民党（S）
8%
社会民主党+环境党+中央党+基督教民主党
8%
其他
8%
中间党（M）+基督教民主党（KD）+自由党（L）
5%
温和党 + 基督教民主党 + 瑞典民主党
3%
社民党 + 中央党 + 自由党
3%
温和党 + 基督教民主党
3%
温和党
3%
社会民主党+环境党+自由党
2%
社会民主党 + 左翼党
2%
S + C + V
1%
社会民主党和中间党（S + C）
1%
社民党 + 环保党 + 中间党 + 自由党
1%
社民党 + 温和党（S + M）
1%
温和党 + 瑞典民主党
1%
社民党 + 绿党 25%
社民党（S）+ 环保党（MP）+ 中央党（C） 22%
社民党+绿党+中间党+左翼党 14%
M + KD + L + SD 13%
最新
最新
2027-07-31
社民党 + 绿党
$359 交易量
25%
社民党（S）+ 环保党（MP）+ 中央党（C）
$362 交易量
32%
社民党+绿党+中间党+左翼党
$458 交易量
14%
M + KD + L + SD
$137 交易量
13%
M + KD + L + C
$125 交易量
10%
社民党+环境党+左翼党
$300 交易量
10%
社民党（S）
$94 交易量
8%
社会民主党+环境党+中央党+基督教民主党
$54 交易量
8%
其他
$84 交易量
8%
中间党（M）+基督教民主党（KD）+自由党（L）
$94 交易量
5%
温和党 + 基督教民主党 + 瑞典民主党
$94 交易量
3%
社民党 + 中央党 + 自由党
$94 交易量
3%
温和党 + 基督教民主党
$94 交易量
3%
温和党
$197 交易量
3%
社会民主党+环境党+自由党
$94 交易量
2%
社会民主党 + 左翼党
$167 交易量
2%
S + C + V
$117 交易量
1%
社会民主党和中间党（S + C）
$114 交易量
1%
社民党 + 环保党 + 中间党 + 自由党
$73 交易量
1%
社民党 + 温和党（S + M）
$73 交易量
1%
温和党 + 瑞典民主党
$73 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
If any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.
If the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Sweden’s September 13 election produced a narrow centre-left parliamentary edge of 176 seats to 173 for the outgoing Tidö bloc, triggering immediate coalition negotiations under negative parliamentarism. The Social Democrats’ leader Magdalena Andersson holds the initiative, yet Centre Party resistance to cabinet inclusion of the Left Party sharply distinguishes the leading S+MP+C option from broader S+MP+C+V or narrower S+MP variants. Right-leaning combinations remain sidelined by Sweden Democrats’ seat losses and bloc fragmentation. Final overseas vote tallies due mid-week and upcoming speaker procedures by late September will shape whether policy concessions or external support arrangements consolidate support around one configuration.
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
If any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.
If the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
If any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.
If the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
交易量
$3,259结束日期
2027-08-01市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 10:50 AM ETParliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
If any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.
If the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Sweden’s September 13 election produced a narrow centre-left parliamentary edge of 176 seats to 173 for the outgoing Tidö bloc, triggering immediate coalition negotiations under negative parliamentarism. The Social Democrats’ leader Magdalena Andersson holds the initiative, yet Centre Party resistance to cabinet inclusion of the Left Party sharply distinguishes the leading S+MP+C option from broader S+MP+C+V or narrower S+MP variants. Right-leaning combinations remain sidelined by Sweden Democrats’ seat losses and bloc fragmentation. Final overseas vote tallies due mid-week and upcoming speaker procedures by late September will shape whether policy concessions or external support arrangements consolidate support around one configuration.
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
If any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.
If the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
The following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.
For example:
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”.
- If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition.
In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
If any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition.
If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government.
If the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
交易量
$3,259结束日期
2027-08-01市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 10:50 AM ETSweden’s September 13 election produced a narrow centre-left parliamentary edge of 176 seats to 173 for the outgoing Tidö bloc, triggering immediate coalition negotiations under negative parliamentarism. The Social Democrats’ leader Magdalena Andersson holds the initiative, yet Centre Party resistance to cabinet inclusion of the Left Party sharply distinguishes the leading S+MP+C option from broader S+MP+C+V or narrower S+MP variants. Right-leaning combinations remain sidelined by Sweden Democrats’ seat losses and bloc fragmentation. Final overseas vote tallies due mid-week and upcoming speaker procedures by late September will shape whether policy concessions or external support arrangements consolidate support around one configuration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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