The incumbent Republican Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district, which Cook Political Report rates as solidly Republican following his 2025 assumption of the seat. This structural advantage, combined with the district's voter composition across counties like Union and Cabarrus, underpins the 86.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 2026 general election. Democratic nominee Colby Watson secured the primary in June 2026 with limited subsequent momentum or polling shifts evident, while the absence of major scandals, redistricting changes, or national wave dynamics has kept the race stable. Traders' consensus reflects these baseline factors and historical performance in similar districts, with resolution tied to the certified November results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,843 交易量
$18,843 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
87%
民主党
14%
$18,843 交易量
$18,843 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,748 交易量
87%
民主党
$12,096 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The incumbent Republican Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district, which Cook Political Report rates as solidly Republican following his 2025 assumption of the seat. This structural advantage, combined with the district's voter composition across counties like Union and Cabarrus, underpins the 86.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 2026 general election. Democratic nominee Colby Watson secured the primary in June 2026 with limited subsequent momentum or polling shifts evident, while the absence of major scandals, redistricting changes, or national wave dynamics has kept the race stable. Traders' consensus reflects these baseline factors and historical performance in similar districts, with resolution tied to the certified November results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$18,843结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The incumbent Republican Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district, which Cook Political Report rates as solidly Republican following his 2025 assumption of the seat. This structural advantage, combined with the district's voter composition across counties like Union and Cabarrus, underpins the 86.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 2026 general election. Democratic nominee Colby Watson secured the primary in June 2026 with limited subsequent momentum or polling shifts evident, while the absence of major scandals, redistricting changes, or national wave dynamics has kept the race stable. Traders' consensus reflects these baseline factors and historical performance in similar districts, with resolution tied to the certified November results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,843结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The incumbent Republican Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district, which Cook Political Report rates as solidly Republican following his 2025 assumption of the seat. This structural advantage, combined with the district's voter composition across counties like Union and Cabarrus, underpins the 86.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 2026 general election. Democratic nominee Colby Watson secured the primary in June 2026 with limited subsequent momentum or polling shifts evident, while the absence of major scandals, redistricting changes, or national wave dynamics has kept the race stable. Traders' consensus reflects these baseline factors and historical performance in similar districts, with resolution tied to the certified November results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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