Mark Harris holds a commanding lead in the NC-08 race due to the district's established Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2025, and consistent fundraising advantage exceeding $1 million compared to Colby Watson's under $40,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Watson secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary but faces structural barriers in a district that delivered a double-digit Republican margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments such as routine legislative activity unlikely to alter the trajectory. A major national partisan shift, candidate-specific scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest such reversals remain uncommon this close to election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,647 交易量
$24,647 交易量
2026-11-02
马克·哈里斯（共和党）
92%
科尔比·沃森（民主党）
9%
$24,647 交易量
$24,647 交易量
2026-11-02
马克·哈里斯（共和党）
$9,559 交易量
92%
科尔比·沃森（民主党）
$15,088 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Harris holds a commanding lead in the NC-08 race due to the district's established Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2025, and consistent fundraising advantage exceeding $1 million compared to Colby Watson's under $40,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Watson secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary but faces structural barriers in a district that delivered a double-digit Republican margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments such as routine legislative activity unlikely to alter the trajectory. A major national partisan shift, candidate-specific scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest such reversals remain uncommon this close to election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$24,647结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Harris holds a commanding lead in the NC-08 race due to the district's established Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2025, and consistent fundraising advantage exceeding $1 million compared to Colby Watson's under $40,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Watson secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary but faces structural barriers in a district that delivered a double-digit Republican margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments such as routine legislative activity unlikely to alter the trajectory. A major national partisan shift, candidate-specific scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest such reversals remain uncommon this close to election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,647结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETMark Harris holds a commanding lead in the NC-08 race due to the district's established Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2025, and consistent fundraising advantage exceeding $1 million compared to Colby Watson's under $40,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Watson secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary but faces structural barriers in a district that delivered a double-digit Republican margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent developments such as routine legislative activity unlikely to alter the trajectory. A major national partisan shift, candidate-specific scandal, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest such reversals remain uncommon this close to election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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