Incumbent Republican Mark Harris faces Democrat Colby Watson in North Carolina's 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Harris secured the Republican nomination without opposition, while Watson prevailed in the March Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district spanning southern Piedmont counties. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks, leaving the implied probability anchored in the district's established voting patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,820 交易量
$13,820 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
80%
民主党
16%
$13,820 交易量
$13,820 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,689 交易量
80%
民主党
$8,132 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Harris faces Democrat Colby Watson in North Carolina's 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Harris secured the Republican nomination without opposition, while Watson prevailed in the March Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district spanning southern Piedmont counties. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks, leaving the implied probability anchored in the district's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$13,820结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Harris faces Democrat Colby Watson in North Carolina's 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Harris secured the Republican nomination without opposition, while Watson prevailed in the March Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district spanning southern Piedmont counties. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks, leaving the implied probability anchored in the district's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,820结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mark Harris faces Democrat Colby Watson in North Carolina's 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Harris secured the Republican nomination without opposition, while Watson prevailed in the March Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district spanning southern Piedmont counties. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks, leaving the implied probability anchored in the district's established voting patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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