Republican incumbent Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters and carried by the party with nearly 60 percent in 2024. After redistricting, the district encompasses conservative-leaning counties including Union, Cabarrus, and Stanly, where Republican primary voters coalesced behind Harris without a contested ballot. Democratic nominee Colby Watson emerged from her March primary but faces structural headwinds in a district without recent competitive general-election swings. With the November 2026 general election still months away, traders assign the Republican Party a clear majority probability, consistent with historical incumbent retention rates and the absence of major polling shifts or external catalysts since the primaries concluded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,862 交易量
$13,862 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
80%
民主党
15%
$13,862 交易量
$13,862 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,711 交易量
80%
民主党
$8,152 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters and carried by the party with nearly 60 percent in 2024. After redistricting, the district encompasses conservative-leaning counties including Union, Cabarrus, and Stanly, where Republican primary voters coalesced behind Harris without a contested ballot. Democratic nominee Colby Watson emerged from her March primary but faces structural headwinds in a district without recent competitive general-election swings. With the November 2026 general election still months away, traders assign the Republican Party a clear majority probability, consistent with historical incumbent retention rates and the absence of major polling shifts or external catalysts since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$13,862结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters and carried by the party with nearly 60 percent in 2024. After redistricting, the district encompasses conservative-leaning counties including Union, Cabarrus, and Stanly, where Republican primary voters coalesced behind Harris without a contested ballot. Democratic nominee Colby Watson emerged from her March primary but faces structural headwinds in a district without recent competitive general-election swings. With the November 2026 general election still months away, traders assign the Republican Party a clear majority probability, consistent with historical incumbent retention rates and the absence of major polling shifts or external catalysts since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,862结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters and carried by the party with nearly 60 percent in 2024. After redistricting, the district encompasses conservative-leaning counties including Union, Cabarrus, and Stanly, where Republican primary voters coalesced behind Harris without a contested ballot. Democratic nominee Colby Watson emerged from her March primary but faces structural headwinds in a district without recent competitive general-election swings. With the November 2026 general election still months away, traders assign the Republican Party a clear majority probability, consistent with historical incumbent retention rates and the absence of major polling shifts or external catalysts since the primaries concluded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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