South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat in a state with consistent GOP majorities in statewide voting. Incumbent Dusty Johnson’s decision to seek the governorship opened the 2026 contest, but Republican primary voters coalesced around state Attorney General Marty Jackley, who secured roughly 80 percent of the June 2 primary vote after receiving President Trump’s endorsement. Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli and independent Jack Pittman face the general election on November 3 with limited statewide infrastructure or recent polling support. The resulting trader consensus of 93 percent for the Republican nominee reflects the district’s structural partisan tilt and the absence of competitive Democratic performance in recent cycles. Late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal or health event involving the Republican standard-bearer could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns suggest such shifts would be rare.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,973 交易量
$16,973 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
5%
$16,973 交易量
$16,973 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,494 交易量
94%
民主党
$7,479 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat in a state with consistent GOP majorities in statewide voting. Incumbent Dusty Johnson’s decision to seek the governorship opened the 2026 contest, but Republican primary voters coalesced around state Attorney General Marty Jackley, who secured roughly 80 percent of the June 2 primary vote after receiving President Trump’s endorsement. Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli and independent Jack Pittman face the general election on November 3 with limited statewide infrastructure or recent polling support. The resulting trader consensus of 93 percent for the Republican nominee reflects the district’s structural partisan tilt and the absence of competitive Democratic performance in recent cycles. Late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal or health event involving the Republican standard-bearer could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns suggest such shifts would be rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$16,973结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat in a state with consistent GOP majorities in statewide voting. Incumbent Dusty Johnson’s decision to seek the governorship opened the 2026 contest, but Republican primary voters coalesced around state Attorney General Marty Jackley, who secured roughly 80 percent of the June 2 primary vote after receiving President Trump’s endorsement. Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli and independent Jack Pittman face the general election on November 3 with limited statewide infrastructure or recent polling support. The resulting trader consensus of 93 percent for the Republican nominee reflects the district’s structural partisan tilt and the absence of competitive Democratic performance in recent cycles. Late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal or health event involving the Republican standard-bearer could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns suggest such shifts would be rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,973结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat in a state with consistent GOP majorities in statewide voting. Incumbent Dusty Johnson’s decision to seek the governorship opened the 2026 contest, but Republican primary voters coalesced around state Attorney General Marty Jackley, who secured roughly 80 percent of the June 2 primary vote after receiving President Trump’s endorsement. Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli and independent Jack Pittman face the general election on November 3 with limited statewide infrastructure or recent polling support. The resulting trader consensus of 93 percent for the Republican nominee reflects the district’s structural partisan tilt and the absence of competitive Democratic performance in recent cycles. Late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal or health event involving the Republican standard-bearer could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns suggest such shifts would be rare.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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