South Dakota's at-large House seat features Republican nominee Marty Jackley, who secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary after incumbent Dusty Johnson pursued the governorship. Jackley prevailed decisively with endorsements from prominent state and national figures and now faces unopposed Democrat Nicole Gronli in the November general election. The state's long-standing Republican tilt in congressional contests, reinforced by consistent primary and general election margins, underpins trader consensus around a Republican outcome. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the state further constrain any realistic path to an upset absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or abrupt national political realignment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,718 交易量
$28,718 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
4%
$28,718 交易量
$28,718 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$21,029 交易量
93%
民主党
$7,688 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large House seat features Republican nominee Marty Jackley, who secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary after incumbent Dusty Johnson pursued the governorship. Jackley prevailed decisively with endorsements from prominent state and national figures and now faces unopposed Democrat Nicole Gronli in the November general election. The state's long-standing Republican tilt in congressional contests, reinforced by consistent primary and general election margins, underpins trader consensus around a Republican outcome. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the state further constrain any realistic path to an upset absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or abrupt national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$28,718结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large House seat features Republican nominee Marty Jackley, who secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary after incumbent Dusty Johnson pursued the governorship. Jackley prevailed decisively with endorsements from prominent state and national figures and now faces unopposed Democrat Nicole Gronli in the November general election. The state's long-standing Republican tilt in congressional contests, reinforced by consistent primary and general election margins, underpins trader consensus around a Republican outcome. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the state further constrain any realistic path to an upset absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or abrupt national political realignment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,718结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large House seat features Republican nominee Marty Jackley, who secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary after incumbent Dusty Johnson pursued the governorship. Jackley prevailed decisively with endorsements from prominent state and national figures and now faces unopposed Democrat Nicole Gronli in the November general election. The state's long-standing Republican tilt in congressional contests, reinforced by consistent primary and general election margins, underpins trader consensus around a Republican outcome. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the state further constrain any realistic path to an upset absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or abrupt national political realignment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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