Marty Jackley holds a commanding lead in the South Dakota at-large House race because the state has not elected a Democrat to Congress since 2008 and rates as solidly Republican across major forecasters. Jackley, the sitting attorney general, secured the GOP nomination in June 2026 with 79 percent of the primary vote and benefits from high statewide name recognition plus legislative accomplishments on public safety and transparency. Nikki Gronli, the Democratic nominee who ran unopposed in her primary, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republican candidates routinely win by wide margins. The November 3 general election occurs in an environment favoring the GOP nominee, though late shifts in turnout, candidate health, or major national events could still affect final results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,111 交易量
$32,111 交易量
2026-11-03
马蒂·杰克利（共和党）
95%
尼基·格龙利（民主党）
4%
$32,111 交易量
$32,111 交易量
2026-11-03
马蒂·杰克利（共和党）
$24,423 交易量
95%
尼基·格龙利（民主党）
$7,688 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marty Jackley holds a commanding lead in the South Dakota at-large House race because the state has not elected a Democrat to Congress since 2008 and rates as solidly Republican across major forecasters. Jackley, the sitting attorney general, secured the GOP nomination in June 2026 with 79 percent of the primary vote and benefits from high statewide name recognition plus legislative accomplishments on public safety and transparency. Nikki Gronli, the Democratic nominee who ran unopposed in her primary, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republican candidates routinely win by wide margins. The November 3 general election occurs in an environment favoring the GOP nominee, though late shifts in turnout, candidate health, or major national events could still affect final results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$32,111结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marty Jackley holds a commanding lead in the South Dakota at-large House race because the state has not elected a Democrat to Congress since 2008 and rates as solidly Republican across major forecasters. Jackley, the sitting attorney general, secured the GOP nomination in June 2026 with 79 percent of the primary vote and benefits from high statewide name recognition plus legislative accomplishments on public safety and transparency. Nikki Gronli, the Democratic nominee who ran unopposed in her primary, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republican candidates routinely win by wide margins. The November 3 general election occurs in an environment favoring the GOP nominee, though late shifts in turnout, candidate health, or major national events could still affect final results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,111结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETMarty Jackley holds a commanding lead in the South Dakota at-large House race because the state has not elected a Democrat to Congress since 2008 and rates as solidly Republican across major forecasters. Jackley, the sitting attorney general, secured the GOP nomination in June 2026 with 79 percent of the primary vote and benefits from high statewide name recognition plus legislative accomplishments on public safety and transparency. Nikki Gronli, the Democratic nominee who ran unopposed in her primary, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republican candidates routinely win by wide margins. The November 3 general election occurs in an environment favoring the GOP nominee, though late shifts in turnout, candidate health, or major national events could still affect final results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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