South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following the June 2, 2026 primaries. Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with roughly 79 percent of the vote, positioning him as the clear favorite against Democrat Nicole Gronli and independent Jack Pittman in the November 3 general election. The state’s partisan registration advantage, history of large GOP margins in federal races, and limited Democratic infrastructure continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory. Forecasters rate the contest as solid or safe Republican. A realistic shift in odds would require a major scandal involving the nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout that narrows the typical double-digit margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,933 交易量
$16,933 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
6%
$16,933 交易量
$16,933 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,474 交易量
93%
民主党
$7,459 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following the June 2, 2026 primaries. Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with roughly 79 percent of the vote, positioning him as the clear favorite against Democrat Nicole Gronli and independent Jack Pittman in the November 3 general election. The state’s partisan registration advantage, history of large GOP margins in federal races, and limited Democratic infrastructure continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory. Forecasters rate the contest as solid or safe Republican. A realistic shift in odds would require a major scandal involving the nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout that narrows the typical double-digit margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$16,933结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following the June 2, 2026 primaries. Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with roughly 79 percent of the vote, positioning him as the clear favorite against Democrat Nicole Gronli and independent Jack Pittman in the November 3 general election. The state’s partisan registration advantage, history of large GOP margins in federal races, and limited Democratic infrastructure continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory. Forecasters rate the contest as solid or safe Republican. A realistic shift in odds would require a major scandal involving the nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout that narrows the typical double-digit margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,933结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following the June 2, 2026 primaries. Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with roughly 79 percent of the vote, positioning him as the clear favorite against Democrat Nicole Gronli and independent Jack Pittman in the November 3 general election. The state’s partisan registration advantage, history of large GOP margins in federal races, and limited Democratic infrastructure continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory. Forecasters rate the contest as solid or safe Republican. A realistic shift in odds would require a major scandal involving the nominee, an unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout that narrows the typical double-digit margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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