Wyoming’s at-large House seat is an open contest after incumbent Republican Harriet Hageman sought a Senate nomination. Chuck Gray secured the Republican primary nomination in mid-August 2026 following a crowded field that included several state-level officials. The state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, combined with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the district as Solid or Safe Republican, underpin trader consensus around the GOP nominee. Democratic nominee Lisa Kinney and the independent candidate face structural headwinds typical of the state’s electorate. While late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually high opposition turnout could theoretically narrow margins, historical results and current positioning make a Democratic or independent victory highly improbable before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$44,175 交易量
$44,175 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
97%
民主党
<1%
$44,175 交易量
$44,175 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$20,234 交易量
97%
民主党
$23,941 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming’s at-large House seat is an open contest after incumbent Republican Harriet Hageman sought a Senate nomination. Chuck Gray secured the Republican primary nomination in mid-August 2026 following a crowded field that included several state-level officials. The state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, combined with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the district as Solid or Safe Republican, underpin trader consensus around the GOP nominee. Democratic nominee Lisa Kinney and the independent candidate face structural headwinds typical of the state’s electorate. While late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually high opposition turnout could theoretically narrow margins, historical results and current positioning make a Democratic or independent victory highly improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$44,175结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming’s at-large House seat is an open contest after incumbent Republican Harriet Hageman sought a Senate nomination. Chuck Gray secured the Republican primary nomination in mid-August 2026 following a crowded field that included several state-level officials. The state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, combined with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the district as Solid or Safe Republican, underpin trader consensus around the GOP nominee. Democratic nominee Lisa Kinney and the independent candidate face structural headwinds typical of the state’s electorate. While late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually high opposition turnout could theoretically narrow margins, historical results and current positioning make a Democratic or independent victory highly improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$44,175结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming’s at-large House seat is an open contest after incumbent Republican Harriet Hageman sought a Senate nomination. Chuck Gray secured the Republican primary nomination in mid-August 2026 following a crowded field that included several state-level officials. The state’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, combined with nonpartisan race ratings classifying the district as Solid or Safe Republican, underpin trader consensus around the GOP nominee. Democratic nominee Lisa Kinney and the independent candidate face structural headwinds typical of the state’s electorate. While late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually high opposition turnout could theoretically narrow margins, historical results and current positioning make a Democratic or independent victory highly improbable before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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