Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona's 2nd congressional district heading into the July 21, 2026, primaries and November general election. The seat carries an R+7 partisan voting index and has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with Crane securing 54.5% in 2024. Democratic nominee Jonathan Nez, the former Navajo Nation president and 2024 nominee, has raised substantial funds and built visibility in rural and Native American communities, yet faces structural headwinds in a district that consistently supports Republican House candidates. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the contest Likely Republican. Trader pricing at 66% for the Republican Party reflects the district's underlying partisan tilt, Crane's incumbency advantages, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift momentum toward Democrats ahead of primary voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
64%
民主党
47%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$393 交易量
64%
民主党
$257 交易量
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona's 2nd congressional district heading into the July 21, 2026, primaries and November general election. The seat carries an R+7 partisan voting index and has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with Crane securing 54.5% in 2024. Democratic nominee Jonathan Nez, the former Navajo Nation president and 2024 nominee, has raised substantial funds and built visibility in rural and Native American communities, yet faces structural headwinds in a district that consistently supports Republican House candidates. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the contest Likely Republican. Trader pricing at 66% for the Republican Party reflects the district's underlying partisan tilt, Crane's incumbency advantages, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift momentum toward Democrats ahead of primary voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
交易量
$650结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona's 2nd congressional district heading into the July 21, 2026, primaries and November general election. The seat carries an R+7 partisan voting index and has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with Crane securing 54.5% in 2024. Democratic nominee Jonathan Nez, the former Navajo Nation president and 2024 nominee, has raised substantial funds and built visibility in rural and Native American communities, yet faces structural headwinds in a district that consistently supports Republican House candidates. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the contest Likely Republican. Trader pricing at 66% for the Republican Party reflects the district's underlying partisan tilt, Crane's incumbency advantages, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift momentum toward Democrats ahead of primary voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$650结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona's 2nd congressional district heading into the July 21, 2026, primaries and November general election. The seat carries an R+7 partisan voting index and has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, with Crane securing 54.5% in 2024. Democratic nominee Jonathan Nez, the former Navajo Nation president and 2024 nominee, has raised substantial funds and built visibility in rural and Native American communities, yet faces structural headwinds in a district that consistently supports Republican House candidates. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the contest Likely Republican. Trader pricing at 66% for the Republican Party reflects the district's underlying partisan tilt, Crane's incumbency advantages, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift momentum toward Democrats ahead of primary voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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