Arizona's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Greg Stanton positioned to defend it against a Republican nominee emerging from the July 21 primary. The district's suburban Phoenix footprint, encompassing Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Stanton's 2024 reelection. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as solid Democratic based on the area's D+4 partisan voting index and historical voting patterns. No significant shifts in polling, candidate announcements, or local developments have altered this positioning in recent months, leaving trader consensus aligned with the district's structural lean and the advantages of incumbency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,964 交易量
$16,964 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
88%
共和党
13%
$16,964 交易量
$16,964 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,085 交易量
88%
共和党
$2,879 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Greg Stanton positioned to defend it against a Republican nominee emerging from the July 21 primary. The district's suburban Phoenix footprint, encompassing Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Stanton's 2024 reelection. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as solid Democratic based on the area's D+4 partisan voting index and historical voting patterns. No significant shifts in polling, candidate announcements, or local developments have altered this positioning in recent months, leaving trader consensus aligned with the district's structural lean and the advantages of incumbency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$16,964结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Greg Stanton positioned to defend it against a Republican nominee emerging from the July 21 primary. The district's suburban Phoenix footprint, encompassing Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Stanton's 2024 reelection. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as solid Democratic based on the area's D+4 partisan voting index and historical voting patterns. No significant shifts in polling, candidate announcements, or local developments have altered this positioning in recent months, leaving trader consensus aligned with the district's structural lean and the advantages of incumbency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,964结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Greg Stanton positioned to defend it against a Republican nominee emerging from the July 21 primary. The district's suburban Phoenix footprint, encompassing Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Stanton's 2024 reelection. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as solid Democratic based on the area's D+4 partisan voting index and historical voting patterns. No significant shifts in polling, candidate announcements, or local developments have altered this positioning in recent months, leaving trader consensus aligned with the district's structural lean and the advantages of incumbency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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