Incumbent Democratic Representative Greg Stanton secured his party's nomination in the July 2026 primary by defeating challenger Kai Newkirk, positioning him for the November general election against Republican Zuhdi Jasser in Arizona's 4th district. The suburban Phoenix-area seat, covering Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, has shown consistent Democratic support in recent cycles, reinforced by Stanton's prior victories and the broader midterm environment. Traders reflect this structural advantage through overwhelming consensus for the Democratic nominee. A shift in odds would require major developments such as a significant national political realignment, documented scandals affecting the incumbent, or unexpectedly strong Republican turnout and fundraising in the final months before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,232 交易量
$32,232 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$32,232 交易量
$32,232 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$25,393 交易量
93%
共和党
$6,839 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Greg Stanton secured his party's nomination in the July 2026 primary by defeating challenger Kai Newkirk, positioning him for the November general election against Republican Zuhdi Jasser in Arizona's 4th district. The suburban Phoenix-area seat, covering Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, has shown consistent Democratic support in recent cycles, reinforced by Stanton's prior victories and the broader midterm environment. Traders reflect this structural advantage through overwhelming consensus for the Democratic nominee. A shift in odds would require major developments such as a significant national political realignment, documented scandals affecting the incumbent, or unexpectedly strong Republican turnout and fundraising in the final months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$32,232结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Greg Stanton secured his party's nomination in the July 2026 primary by defeating challenger Kai Newkirk, positioning him for the November general election against Republican Zuhdi Jasser in Arizona's 4th district. The suburban Phoenix-area seat, covering Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, has shown consistent Democratic support in recent cycles, reinforced by Stanton's prior victories and the broader midterm environment. Traders reflect this structural advantage through overwhelming consensus for the Democratic nominee. A shift in odds would require major developments such as a significant national political realignment, documented scandals affecting the incumbent, or unexpectedly strong Republican turnout and fundraising in the final months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,232结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Greg Stanton secured his party's nomination in the July 2026 primary by defeating challenger Kai Newkirk, positioning him for the November general election against Republican Zuhdi Jasser in Arizona's 4th district. The suburban Phoenix-area seat, covering Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, has shown consistent Democratic support in recent cycles, reinforced by Stanton's prior victories and the broader midterm environment. Traders reflect this structural advantage through overwhelming consensus for the Democratic nominee. A shift in odds would require major developments such as a significant national political realignment, documented scandals affecting the incumbent, or unexpectedly strong Republican turnout and fundraising in the final months before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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