Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of even and narrow presidential margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani faces Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza in the November 2026 general election, following July 21 primaries. Both candidates have raised over $5 million through March 2026, signaling a high-profile contest, while early polling shows them statistically tied or separated by just a few points. Expert ratings classify the race as a toss-up, reflecting its battleground status and potential sensitivity to national midterm dynamics, voter turnout in the Tucson area, and any shifts in the broader House landscape before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党
80%
共和党
22%
民主党
80%
共和党
22%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of even and narrow presidential margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani faces Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza in the November 2026 general election, following July 21 primaries. Both candidates have raised over $5 million through March 2026, signaling a high-profile contest, while early polling shows them statistically tied or separated by just a few points. Expert ratings classify the race as a toss-up, reflecting its battleground status and potential sensitivity to national midterm dynamics, voter turnout in the Tucson area, and any shifts in the broader House landscape before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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