Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with an even partisan voting index and narrow margins in recent cycles, including Republican Juan Ciscomani’s 2024 reelection by under a point. Both parties’ July 21, 2026 primaries produced unopposed nominees, clearing the path for Democrat JoAnna Mendoza, a former Marine Corps drill instructor, to challenge the incumbent. A March 2026 poll showed Mendoza leading slightly, and Democratic fundraising momentum plus national midterm dynamics appear to underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 82.5% implied probability over the Republican at 17.5%. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
83%
共和党
18%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$3,889 交易量
83%
共和党
$5,816 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with an even partisan voting index and narrow margins in recent cycles, including Republican Juan Ciscomani’s 2024 reelection by under a point. Both parties’ July 21, 2026 primaries produced unopposed nominees, clearing the path for Democrat JoAnna Mendoza, a former Marine Corps drill instructor, to challenge the incumbent. A March 2026 poll showed Mendoza leading slightly, and Democratic fundraising momentum plus national midterm dynamics appear to underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 82.5% implied probability over the Republican at 17.5%. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
交易量
$9,705结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with an even partisan voting index and narrow margins in recent cycles, including Republican Juan Ciscomani’s 2024 reelection by under a point. Both parties’ July 21, 2026 primaries produced unopposed nominees, clearing the path for Democrat JoAnna Mendoza, a former Marine Corps drill instructor, to challenge the incumbent. A March 2026 poll showed Mendoza leading slightly, and Democratic fundraising momentum plus national midterm dynamics appear to underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 82.5% implied probability over the Republican at 17.5%. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,705结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with an even partisan voting index and narrow margins in recent cycles, including Republican Juan Ciscomani’s 2024 reelection by under a point. Both parties’ July 21, 2026 primaries produced unopposed nominees, clearing the path for Democrat JoAnna Mendoza, a former Marine Corps drill instructor, to challenge the incumbent. A March 2026 poll showed Mendoza leading slightly, and Democratic fundraising momentum plus national midterm dynamics appear to underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 82.5% implied probability over the Republican at 17.5%. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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