Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 midterms, with Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott challenging Republican incumbent Zach Nunn. Recent polling averages show the race within single digits, though some Democratic surveys place Trone Garriott ahead after candidate profiles, reflecting strong fundraising and early ad buys by both sides. Cook Political Report rates the seat a toss-up following its January shift from lean Republican, consistent with the district's narrow 2024 results and R+2 partisan lean. Traders appear to price in national midterm dynamics that typically favor the opposition party, alongside Trone Garriott's profile as a state senator and endorsements from reproductive rights groups. Both candidates secured uncontested primaries in June, setting up a fall contest focused on turnout in the Des Moines area and surrounding counties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
78%
共和党
22%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$3,519 交易量
78%
共和党
$4,508 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 midterms, with Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott challenging Republican incumbent Zach Nunn. Recent polling averages show the race within single digits, though some Democratic surveys place Trone Garriott ahead after candidate profiles, reflecting strong fundraising and early ad buys by both sides. Cook Political Report rates the seat a toss-up following its January shift from lean Republican, consistent with the district's narrow 2024 results and R+2 partisan lean. Traders appear to price in national midterm dynamics that typically favor the opposition party, alongside Trone Garriott's profile as a state senator and endorsements from reproductive rights groups. Both candidates secured uncontested primaries in June, setting up a fall contest focused on turnout in the Des Moines area and surrounding counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
交易量
$8,027结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 midterms, with Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott challenging Republican incumbent Zach Nunn. Recent polling averages show the race within single digits, though some Democratic surveys place Trone Garriott ahead after candidate profiles, reflecting strong fundraising and early ad buys by both sides. Cook Political Report rates the seat a toss-up following its January shift from lean Republican, consistent with the district's narrow 2024 results and R+2 partisan lean. Traders appear to price in national midterm dynamics that typically favor the opposition party, alongside Trone Garriott's profile as a state senator and endorsements from reproductive rights groups. Both candidates secured uncontested primaries in June, setting up a fall contest focused on turnout in the Des Moines area and surrounding counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,027结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 3rd congressional district remains one of the most competitive House races in the 2026 midterms, with Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott challenging Republican incumbent Zach Nunn. Recent polling averages show the race within single digits, though some Democratic surveys place Trone Garriott ahead after candidate profiles, reflecting strong fundraising and early ad buys by both sides. Cook Political Report rates the seat a toss-up following its January shift from lean Republican, consistent with the district's narrow 2024 results and R+2 partisan lean. Traders appear to price in national midterm dynamics that typically favor the opposition party, alongside Trone Garriott's profile as a state senator and endorsements from reproductive rights groups. Both candidates secured uncontested primaries in June, setting up a fall contest focused on turnout in the Des Moines area and surrounding counties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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