Adelita Grijalva (D), the incumbent who won a September 2025 special election to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th district. The seat covers a majority-Hispanic border region including parts of Tucson and Yuma, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+13. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the July 21 primary and November general election. Grijalva’s prior margin and the district’s consistent voting patterns underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. A Republican upset would require an unforeseen national wave, a serious personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually weak Democratic primary performance—developments not indicated by current filings or historical results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,503 交易量
$12,503 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$12,503 交易量
$12,503 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,596 交易量
94%
共和党
$7,907 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva (D), the incumbent who won a September 2025 special election to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th district. The seat covers a majority-Hispanic border region including parts of Tucson and Yuma, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+13. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the July 21 primary and November general election. Grijalva’s prior margin and the district’s consistent voting patterns underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. A Republican upset would require an unforeseen national wave, a serious personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually weak Democratic primary performance—developments not indicated by current filings or historical results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$12,503结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva (D), the incumbent who won a September 2025 special election to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th district. The seat covers a majority-Hispanic border region including parts of Tucson and Yuma, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+13. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the July 21 primary and November general election. Grijalva’s prior margin and the district’s consistent voting patterns underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. A Republican upset would require an unforeseen national wave, a serious personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually weak Democratic primary performance—developments not indicated by current filings or historical results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,503结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva (D), the incumbent who won a September 2025 special election to succeed her late father, holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th district. The seat covers a majority-Hispanic border region including parts of Tucson and Yuma, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+13. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the July 21 primary and November general election. Grijalva’s prior margin and the district’s consistent voting patterns underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. A Republican upset would require an unforeseen national wave, a serious personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually weak Democratic primary performance—developments not indicated by current filings or historical results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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