Minnesota's 7th congressional district ranks among the state's most Republican-leaning seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and a 36-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024. Incumbent Representative Michelle Fischbach faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11, 2026, primaries and holds a substantial fundraising and name-recognition advantage. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have rated the general election Safe or Solid Republican. The absence of viable Democratic challengers or recent district-specific developments reinforces trader consensus around continued Republican control. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though the district's structural partisan composition limits the realistic scope for such changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,184 交易量
92%
民主党
$5,317 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 7th congressional district ranks among the state's most Republican-leaning seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and a 36-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024. Incumbent Representative Michelle Fischbach faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11, 2026, primaries and holds a substantial fundraising and name-recognition advantage. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have rated the general election Safe or Solid Republican. The absence of viable Democratic challengers or recent district-specific developments reinforces trader consensus around continued Republican control. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though the district's structural partisan composition limits the realistic scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$7,502结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 7th congressional district ranks among the state's most Republican-leaning seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and a 36-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024. Incumbent Representative Michelle Fischbach faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11, 2026, primaries and holds a substantial fundraising and name-recognition advantage. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have rated the general election Safe or Solid Republican. The absence of viable Democratic challengers or recent district-specific developments reinforces trader consensus around continued Republican control. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though the district's structural partisan composition limits the realistic scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,502结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 7th congressional district ranks among the state's most Republican-leaning seats, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and a 36-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024. Incumbent Representative Michelle Fischbach faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11, 2026, primaries and holds a substantial fundraising and name-recognition advantage. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have rated the general election Safe or Solid Republican. The absence of viable Democratic challengers or recent district-specific developments reinforces trader consensus around continued Republican control. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though the district's structural partisan composition limits the realistic scope for such changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题