Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s D+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including her 2024 victory by double digits. Race forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, with the filing deadline passed and primaries set for August 11. Morrison’s established fundraising and name recognition in the suburban Twin Cities district further consolidate trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a GOP member since 2016. Shifts could still emerge from an unexpected national environment, late primary developments, or turnout surprises in the western metro suburbs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,058 交易量
$10,058 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$10,058 交易量
$10,058 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,165 交易量
93%
共和党
$3,893 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s D+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including her 2024 victory by double digits. Race forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, with the filing deadline passed and primaries set for August 11. Morrison’s established fundraising and name recognition in the suburban Twin Cities district further consolidate trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a GOP member since 2016. Shifts could still emerge from an unexpected national environment, late primary developments, or turnout surprises in the western metro suburbs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$10,058结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s D+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including her 2024 victory by double digits. Race forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, with the filing deadline passed and primaries set for August 11. Morrison’s established fundraising and name recognition in the suburban Twin Cities district further consolidate trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a GOP member since 2016. Shifts could still emerge from an unexpected national environment, late primary developments, or turnout surprises in the western metro suburbs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,058结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s D+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including her 2024 victory by double digits. Race forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, with the filing deadline passed and primaries set for August 11. Morrison’s established fundraising and name recognition in the suburban Twin Cities district further consolidate trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a GOP member since 2016. Shifts could still emerge from an unexpected national environment, late primary developments, or turnout surprises in the western metro suburbs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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