Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, and independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Morrison won election in 2024 with 58.4 percent of the vote, and the Republican primary field remains limited to lesser-known challengers. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in polling or candidate dynamics. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unusually divisive Democratic primary, a national political realignment altering suburban turnout, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals before the August 11 primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,058 交易量
$10,058 交易量
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$10,058 交易量
$10,058 交易量
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, and independent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Morrison won election in 2024 with 58.4 percent of the vote, and the Republican primary field remains limited to lesser-known challengers. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in polling or candidate dynamics. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unusually divisive Democratic primary, a national political realignment altering suburban turnout, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals before the August 11 primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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