The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate, has shaped trader positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the suburban district as Likely Democratic, reflecting its modest partisan lean and recent electoral history. On the Democratic side, former state Sen. Matt Little secured the DFL endorsement at the May 2026 convention and leads a contested August 11 primary against state Rep. Kaela Berg and state Sen. Matt Klein. Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt is the presumptive nominee after securing his party’s backing. Recent polling in hypothetical general-election matchups shows Democratic candidates ahead, supporting the current market consensus that favors the Democratic nominee while leaving room for shifts tied to primary outcomes, turnout patterns, and national midterm dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党
21%
民主党
62%
共和党
21%
民主党
62%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate, has shaped trader positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the suburban district as Likely Democratic, reflecting its modest partisan lean and recent electoral history. On the Democratic side, former state Sen. Matt Little secured the DFL endorsement at the May 2026 convention and leads a contested August 11 primary against state Rep. Kaela Berg and state Sen. Matt Klein. Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt is the presumptive nominee after securing his party’s backing. Recent polling in hypothetical general-election matchups shows Democratic candidates ahead, supporting the current market consensus that favors the Democratic nominee while leaving room for shifts tied to primary outcomes, turnout patterns, and national midterm dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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