The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s April 2025 decision to run for Senate instead, has produced a competitive contest despite the district’s D+3 partisan voting index. Multiple forecasters rate the general election Likely Democratic, reflecting the area’s suburban Twin Cities base and recent Democratic performance, yet the absence of an incumbent gives Republicans a clearer path than in prior cycles. On the Democratic side, the August 11 primary features endorsed candidate Matt Little and others after the June filing deadline, while Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt stands as the presumptive nominee. Trader consensus at 56% for Democrats versus 24% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors and limited recent polling, with the outcome hinging on primary results and fall turnout in this battleground-leaning district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
68%
共和党
24%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$123 交易量
68%
共和党
$156 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s April 2025 decision to run for Senate instead, has produced a competitive contest despite the district’s D+3 partisan voting index. Multiple forecasters rate the general election Likely Democratic, reflecting the area’s suburban Twin Cities base and recent Democratic performance, yet the absence of an incumbent gives Republicans a clearer path than in prior cycles. On the Democratic side, the August 11 primary features endorsed candidate Matt Little and others after the June filing deadline, while Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt stands as the presumptive nominee. Trader consensus at 56% for Democrats versus 24% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors and limited recent polling, with the outcome hinging on primary results and fall turnout in this battleground-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$279结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s April 2025 decision to run for Senate instead, has produced a competitive contest despite the district’s D+3 partisan voting index. Multiple forecasters rate the general election Likely Democratic, reflecting the area’s suburban Twin Cities base and recent Democratic performance, yet the absence of an incumbent gives Republicans a clearer path than in prior cycles. On the Democratic side, the August 11 primary features endorsed candidate Matt Little and others after the June filing deadline, while Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt stands as the presumptive nominee. Trader consensus at 56% for Democrats versus 24% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors and limited recent polling, with the outcome hinging on primary results and fall turnout in this battleground-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$279结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s April 2025 decision to run for Senate instead, has produced a competitive contest despite the district’s D+3 partisan voting index. Multiple forecasters rate the general election Likely Democratic, reflecting the area’s suburban Twin Cities base and recent Democratic performance, yet the absence of an incumbent gives Republicans a clearer path than in prior cycles. On the Democratic side, the August 11 primary features endorsed candidate Matt Little and others after the June filing deadline, while Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt stands as the presumptive nominee. Trader consensus at 56% for Democrats versus 24% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors and limited recent polling, with the outcome hinging on primary results and fall turnout in this battleground-leaning district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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