The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Georgia's 4th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent partisan lean, the strength of incumbent Hank Johnson following his decisive May 2026 primary win, and the limited profile of Republican nominee James Duffie. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on voting patterns in Atlanta's southeast suburbs, prior results exceeding 70 percent for the incumbent, and minimal opposition fundraising or organizational activity. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage ahead of the November general election. Potential shifts remain possible from late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the frontrunner, or an extraordinary national political realignment that alters local turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$47,554 交易量
$47,554 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
98%
共和党
1%
$47,554 交易量
$47,554 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$29,649 交易量
98%
共和党
$17,904 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Georgia's 4th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent partisan lean, the strength of incumbent Hank Johnson following his decisive May 2026 primary win, and the limited profile of Republican nominee James Duffie. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on voting patterns in Atlanta's southeast suburbs, prior results exceeding 70 percent for the incumbent, and minimal opposition fundraising or organizational activity. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage ahead of the November general election. Potential shifts remain possible from late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the frontrunner, or an extraordinary national political realignment that alters local turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$47,554结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Georgia's 4th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent partisan lean, the strength of incumbent Hank Johnson following his decisive May 2026 primary win, and the limited profile of Republican nominee James Duffie. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on voting patterns in Atlanta's southeast suburbs, prior results exceeding 70 percent for the incumbent, and minimal opposition fundraising or organizational activity. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage ahead of the November general election. Potential shifts remain possible from late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the frontrunner, or an extraordinary national political realignment that alters local turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$47,554结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Georgia's 4th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent partisan lean, the strength of incumbent Hank Johnson following his decisive May 2026 primary win, and the limited profile of Republican nominee James Duffie. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on voting patterns in Atlanta's southeast suburbs, prior results exceeding 70 percent for the incumbent, and minimal opposition fundraising or organizational activity. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage ahead of the November general election. Potential shifts remain possible from late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the frontrunner, or an extraordinary national political realignment that alters local turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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