The tightly clustered probabilities around 41–44.5% across turnout bins reflect trader uncertainty over 2026 midterm participation in a race where Democratic incumbent Mark Warner faces Republican Bert Mizusawa in a contest rated Solid Democrat by major forecasters. Historical Virginia midterm totals have varied significantly with national conditions, early voting access, and party mobilization, while recent primary results and April redistricting referendum data show uneven enthusiasm that has not yet produced a clear general-election signal. Factors such as post-2024 economic sentiment, campaign outreach intensity, and voter registration trends could shift totals in either direction before November 3, sustaining the balanced market view until clearer indicators emerge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于<250万 44%
275万-300万 44%
300万-325万 44%
325万-350万 44%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
<250万
44%
250万-275万
41%
275万-300万
44%
300万-325万
44%
325万-350万
44%
350万-375万
43%
375万-400万
41%
400万以上
43%
<250万 44%
275万-300万 44%
300万-325万 44%
325万-350万 44%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
<250万
$0 交易量
44%
250万-275万
$0 交易量
41%
275万-300万
$0 交易量
44%
300万-325万
$0 交易量
44%
325万-350万
$0 交易量
44%
350万-375万
$0 交易量
43%
375万-400万
$0 交易量
41%
400万以上
$0 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly clustered probabilities around 41–44.5% across turnout bins reflect trader uncertainty over 2026 midterm participation in a race where Democratic incumbent Mark Warner faces Republican Bert Mizusawa in a contest rated Solid Democrat by major forecasters. Historical Virginia midterm totals have varied significantly with national conditions, early voting access, and party mobilization, while recent primary results and April redistricting referendum data show uneven enthusiasm that has not yet produced a clear general-election signal. Factors such as post-2024 economic sentiment, campaign outreach intensity, and voter registration trends could shift totals in either direction before November 3, sustaining the balanced market view until clearer indicators emerge.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly clustered probabilities around 41–44.5% across turnout bins reflect trader uncertainty over 2026 midterm participation in a race where Democratic incumbent Mark Warner faces Republican Bert Mizusawa in a contest rated Solid Democrat by major forecasters. Historical Virginia midterm totals have varied significantly with national conditions, early voting access, and party mobilization, while recent primary results and April redistricting referendum data show uneven enthusiasm that has not yet produced a clear general-election signal. Factors such as post-2024 economic sentiment, campaign outreach intensity, and voter registration trends could shift totals in either direction before November 3, sustaining the balanced market view until clearer indicators emerge.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly clustered probabilities around 41–44.5% across turnout bins reflect trader uncertainty over 2026 midterm participation in a race where Democratic incumbent Mark Warner faces Republican Bert Mizusawa in a contest rated Solid Democrat by major forecasters. Historical Virginia midterm totals have varied significantly with national conditions, early voting access, and party mobilization, while recent primary results and April redistricting referendum data show uneven enthusiasm that has not yet produced a clear general-election signal. Factors such as post-2024 economic sentiment, campaign outreach intensity, and voter registration trends could shift totals in either direction before November 3, sustaining the balanced market view until clearer indicators emerge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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